Trader consensus prices an 89% implied probability against Iran withdrawing from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2027, reflecting skepticism over recent threats amid US and Israeli military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites. In late March 2026, parliamentarians fast-tracked a bill proposing NPT exit, repeal of nuclear deal commitments, and a new cooperative framework, but no vote or formal three-month withdrawal notice has followed. Instead, Iran submitted working papers to the ongoing 2026 NPT Review Conference (April 27–May 22) and affirmed membership intentions as of May 11, consistent with historical patterns of rhetorical escalation without action to avoid isolation like North Korea's. IAEA safeguards reports highlight ongoing compliance disputes but no treaty breach triggering exit.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या ईरान 2027 से पहले एनपीटी से हट जाएगा?
क्या ईरान 2027 से पहले एनपीटी से हट जाएगा?
हाँ
$120,918 वॉल्यूम
$120,918 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$120,918 वॉल्यूम
$120,918 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices an 89% implied probability against Iran withdrawing from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2027, reflecting skepticism over recent threats amid US and Israeli military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites. In late March 2026, parliamentarians fast-tracked a bill proposing NPT exit, repeal of nuclear deal commitments, and a new cooperative framework, but no vote or formal three-month withdrawal notice has followed. Instead, Iran submitted working papers to the ongoing 2026 NPT Review Conference (April 27–May 22) and affirmed membership intentions as of May 11, consistent with historical patterns of rhetorical escalation without action to avoid isolation like North Korea's. IAEA safeguards reports highlight ongoing compliance disputes but no treaty breach triggering exit.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$120,918समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices an 89% implied probability against Iran withdrawing from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2027, reflecting skepticism over recent threats amid US and Israeli military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites. In late March 2026, parliamentarians fast-tracked a bill proposing NPT exit, repeal of nuclear deal commitments, and a new cooperative framework, but no vote or formal three-month withdrawal notice has followed. Instead, Iran submitted working papers to the ongoing 2026 NPT Review Conference (April 27–May 22) and affirmed membership intentions as of May 11, consistent with historical patterns of rhetorical escalation without action to avoid isolation like North Korea's. IAEA safeguards reports highlight ongoing compliance disputes but no treaty breach triggering exit.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$120,918समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices an 89% implied probability against Iran withdrawing from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2027, reflecting skepticism over recent threats amid US and Israeli military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites. In late March 2026, parliamentarians fast-tracked a bill proposing NPT exit, repeal of nuclear deal commitments, and a new cooperative framework, but no vote or formal three-month withdrawal notice has followed. Instead, Iran submitted working papers to the ongoing 2026 NPT Review Conference (April 27–May 22) and affirmed membership intentions as of May 11, consistent with historical patterns of rhetorical escalation without action to avoid isolation like North Korea's. IAEA safeguards reports highlight ongoing compliance disputes but no treaty breach triggering exit.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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