Ongoing lack of progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement sustains trader expectations that Iran will not commit to ending uranium enrichment by year-end. The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for final talks on down-blending stockpiles under IAEA supervision and addressing enrichment limits, collapsed by July amid mutual accusations of non-compliance. Subsequent IAEA reporting through September confirms restricted inspector access to key facilities since 2025 strikes, preventing verification of stockpiles or any suspension of activities, while Iran continues to assert its nuclear rights under the NPT. No new diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled summits have emerged to alter this trajectory before the December 31 deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाईरान 31 दिसंबर तक यूरेनियम के संवर्धन को समाप्त करने के लिए सहमत है?
ईरान 31 दिसंबर तक यूरेनियम के संवर्धन को समाप्त करने के लिए सहमत है?
हाँ
13% संभावना
$1,757,879 वॉल्यूम
$1,757,879 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
13% संभावना
$1,757,879 वॉल्यूम
$1,757,879 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing lack of progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement sustains trader expectations that Iran will not commit to ending uranium enrichment by year-end. The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for final talks on down-blending stockpiles under IAEA supervision and addressing enrichment limits, collapsed by July amid mutual accusations of non-compliance. Subsequent IAEA reporting through September confirms restricted inspector access to key facilities since 2025 strikes, preventing verification of stockpiles or any suspension of activities, while Iran continues to assert its nuclear rights under the NPT. No new diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled summits have emerged to alter this trajectory before the December 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,757,879समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing lack of progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement sustains trader expectations that Iran will not commit to ending uranium enrichment by year-end. The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for final talks on down-blending stockpiles under IAEA supervision and addressing enrichment limits, collapsed by July amid mutual accusations of non-compliance. Subsequent IAEA reporting through September confirms restricted inspector access to key facilities since 2025 strikes, preventing verification of stockpiles or any suspension of activities, while Iran continues to assert its nuclear rights under the NPT. No new diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled summits have emerged to alter this trajectory before the December 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,757,879समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Ongoing lack of progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement sustains trader expectations that Iran will not commit to ending uranium enrichment by year-end. The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for final talks on down-blending stockpiles under IAEA supervision and addressing enrichment limits, collapsed by July amid mutual accusations of non-compliance. Subsequent IAEA reporting through September confirms restricted inspector access to key facilities since 2025 strikes, preventing verification of stockpiles or any suspension of activities, while Iran continues to assert its nuclear rights under the NPT. No new diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled summits have emerged to alter this trajectory before the December 31 deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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