Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to Google releasing Gemini 3.2 on May 19, fueled by leaks and brief sightings of Gemini 3.2 Flash in the Gemini app model selector and API logs as early as March 2026, with fleeting access for select users around May 5. These developments signal imminent rollout ahead of Google I/O's May 19 keynote, aligning with Google's cadence post-Gemini 3 series launches in late 2025 and early 2026, amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT and Anthropic's Claude models. May 18 trails at 5% on pre-event hype, while "No release by May 31" sits at 2.3%, reflecting strong skin-in-the-game conviction despite risks of delays or preview-only drops typical in AI model releases. Watch I/O for capability demos and benchmarks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMay 19 90%
May 18 5.0%
No release by May 31 2.3%
May 20 1.7%
$283,182 वॉल्यूम
$283,182 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
May 15
<1%
May 16
<1%
May 17
2%
May 18
5%
May 19
90%
May 20
2%
May 21
1%
May 22
2%
May 23
<1%
May 24
<1%
May 25
<1%
May 26
<1%
May 27
<1%
May 28
<1%
May 29
<1%
May 30
<1%
May 31
<1%
No release by May 31
2%
May 19 90%
May 18 5.0%
No release by May 31 2.3%
May 20 1.7%
$283,182 वॉल्यूम
$283,182 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
May 15
$7,144 वॉल्यूम
<1%
May 16
$6,108 वॉल्यूम
<1%
May 17
$8,391 वॉल्यूम
2%
May 18
$34,180 वॉल्यूम
5%
May 19
$105,091 वॉल्यूम
90%
May 20
$15,386 वॉल्यूम
2%
May 21
$9,674 वॉल्यूम
1%
May 22
$11,214 वॉल्यूम
2%
May 23
$3,483 वॉल्यूम
<1%
May 24
$3,950 वॉल्यूम
<1%
May 25
$2,915 वॉल्यूम
<1%
May 26
$3,471 वॉल्यूम
<1%
May 27
$3,941 वॉल्यूम
<1%
May 28
$2,569 वॉल्यूम
<1%
May 29
$1,918 वॉल्यूम
<1%
May 30
$5,620 वॉल्यूम
<1%
May 31
$5,006 वॉल्यूम
<1%
No release by May 31
$19,166 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to Google releasing Gemini 3.2 on May 19, fueled by leaks and brief sightings of Gemini 3.2 Flash in the Gemini app model selector and API logs as early as March 2026, with fleeting access for select users around May 5. These developments signal imminent rollout ahead of Google I/O's May 19 keynote, aligning with Google's cadence post-Gemini 3 series launches in late 2025 and early 2026, amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT and Anthropic's Claude models. May 18 trails at 5% on pre-event hype, while "No release by May 31" sits at 2.3%, reflecting strong skin-in-the-game conviction despite risks of delays or preview-only drops typical in AI model releases. Watch I/O for capability demos and benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$283,182समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to Google releasing Gemini 3.2 on May 19, fueled by leaks and brief sightings of Gemini 3.2 Flash in the Gemini app model selector and API logs as early as March 2026, with fleeting access for select users around May 5. These developments signal imminent rollout ahead of Google I/O's May 19 keynote, aligning with Google's cadence post-Gemini 3 series launches in late 2025 and early 2026, amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT and Anthropic's Claude models. May 18 trails at 5% on pre-event hype, while "No release by May 31" sits at 2.3%, reflecting strong skin-in-the-game conviction despite risks of delays or preview-only drops typical in AI model releases. Watch I/O for capability demos and benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$283,182समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to Google releasing Gemini 3.2 on May 19, fueled by leaks and brief sightings of Gemini 3.2 Flash in the Gemini app model selector and API logs as early as March 2026, with fleeting access for select users around May 5. These developments signal imminent rollout ahead of Google I/O's May 19 keynote, aligning with Google's cadence post-Gemini 3 series launches in late 2025 and early 2026, amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT and Anthropic's Claude models. May 18 trails at 5% on pre-event hype, while "No release by May 31" sits at 2.3%, reflecting strong skin-in-the-game conviction despite risks of delays or preview-only drops typical in AI model releases. Watch I/O for capability demos and benchmarks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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