Fernando Dias da Costa leads trader consensus in this fragmented field following his strong performance and claimed victory in the annulled November 2025 presidential vote, where he drew backing from the PAI–Terra Ranka alliance and elements of the PAIGC opposition. The November 2025 military coup that ousted incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló, installed a transitional junta under General Horta Inta-A Na Man, and scheduled fresh elections for December 2026 has lowered Embaló’s odds while elevating uncertainty around military influence, opposition coordination, and the impact of the August 2026 constitutional referendum that expanded presidential powers and imposed a five-year residency requirement. Multiple lower-polling candidates, including José Mário Vaz and Baciro Djá, further split support in a system where consolidation behind one contender hinges on alliances, turnout patterns, and transitional authorities’ stance ahead of the December vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयागिनी - बिसाऊ राष्ट्रपति चुनाव
फर्नांडो डियास दा कोस्टा 34.7%
जोस मारियो वाज़ 2.9%
उमरो सिस्सोको एम्बालो 2.5%
बासीरो जाँ 1.7%
$339,382 वॉल्यूम
$339,382 वॉल्यूम
फर्नांडो डियास दा कोस्टा
21%
जोस मारियो वाज़
3%
उमरो सिस्सोको एम्बालो
9%
बासीरो जाँ
2%
होनोरियो ऑगस्टो लोप्स
2%
जोआओ बर्नार्डो विएरा
2%
जोआओ डी डिउस मेंडेस
2%
मारियो दा सिल्वा जूनियर
2%
सिगा बतिस्ता
2%
मामाडु इआइआ जलो
2%
गेब्रियल फर्नांडो इंडी
1%
हेरकुलानो आर्मांडो बेकिन्सा
1%
फर्नांडो डियास दा कोस्टा 34.7%
जोस मारियो वाज़ 2.9%
उमरो सिस्सोको एम्बालो 2.5%
बासीरो जाँ 1.7%
$339,382 वॉल्यूम
$339,382 वॉल्यूम
फर्नांडो डियास दा कोस्टा
21%
जोस मारियो वाज़
3%
उमरो सिस्सोको एम्बालो
9%
बासीरो जाँ
2%
होनोरियो ऑगस्टो लोप्स
2%
जोआओ बर्नार्डो विएरा
2%
जोआओ डी डिउस मेंडेस
2%
मारियो दा सिल्वा जूनियर
2%
सिगा बतिस्ता
2%
मामाडु इआइआ जलो
2%
गेब्रियल फर्नांडो इंडी
1%
हेरकुलानो आर्मांडो बेकिन्सा
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Fernando Dias da Costa leads trader consensus in this fragmented field following his strong performance and claimed victory in the annulled November 2025 presidential vote, where he drew backing from the PAI–Terra Ranka alliance and elements of the PAIGC opposition. The November 2025 military coup that ousted incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló, installed a transitional junta under General Horta Inta-A Na Man, and scheduled fresh elections for December 2026 has lowered Embaló’s odds while elevating uncertainty around military influence, opposition coordination, and the impact of the August 2026 constitutional referendum that expanded presidential powers and imposed a five-year residency requirement. Multiple lower-polling candidates, including José Mário Vaz and Baciro Djá, further split support in a system where consolidation behind one contender hinges on alliances, turnout patterns, and transitional authorities’ stance ahead of the December vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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