Incumbent Democratic Rep. Jill Tokuda's strong fundraising lead over potential challengers, as reported in mid-April, alongside endorsements from the Hawaii State Teachers Association and public employee unions earlier this year, bolsters trader consensus at 92% for a Democratic hold in Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District. This safe Democratic seat, spanning rural Oahu and neighbor islands, has seen Tokuda deliver large victory margins in prior cycles amid the state's partisan registration edge favoring Democrats. With no formidable Republican nominee yet ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primary, odds reflect low upset risk. Shifts could arise from a credible GOP recruit, Tokuda scandal, or national midterm wave aiding Republicans.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHI -02 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
HI -02 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$53,097 वॉल्यूम
$53,097 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
7%
$53,097 वॉल्यूम
$53,097 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$42,836 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$10,261 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Jill Tokuda's strong fundraising lead over potential challengers, as reported in mid-April, alongside endorsements from the Hawaii State Teachers Association and public employee unions earlier this year, bolsters trader consensus at 92% for a Democratic hold in Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District. This safe Democratic seat, spanning rural Oahu and neighbor islands, has seen Tokuda deliver large victory margins in prior cycles amid the state's partisan registration edge favoring Democrats. With no formidable Republican nominee yet ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primary, odds reflect low upset risk. Shifts could arise from a credible GOP recruit, Tokuda scandal, or national midterm wave aiding Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$53,097समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Jill Tokuda's strong fundraising lead over potential challengers, as reported in mid-April, alongside endorsements from the Hawaii State Teachers Association and public employee unions earlier this year, bolsters trader consensus at 92% for a Democratic hold in Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District. This safe Democratic seat, spanning rural Oahu and neighbor islands, has seen Tokuda deliver large victory margins in prior cycles amid the state's partisan registration edge favoring Democrats. With no formidable Republican nominee yet ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primary, odds reflect low upset risk. Shifts could arise from a credible GOP recruit, Tokuda scandal, or national midterm wave aiding Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$53,097समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Jill Tokuda's strong fundraising lead over potential challengers, as reported in mid-April, alongside endorsements from the Hawaii State Teachers Association and public employee unions earlier this year, bolsters trader consensus at 92% for a Democratic hold in Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District. This safe Democratic seat, spanning rural Oahu and neighbor islands, has seen Tokuda deliver large victory margins in prior cycles amid the state's partisan registration edge favoring Democrats. With no formidable Republican nominee yet ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primary, odds reflect low upset risk. Shifts could arise from a credible GOP recruit, Tokuda scandal, or national midterm wave aiding Republicans.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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