Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 24 are the main drivers keeping Mexico City’s daily maximum near 19–21 °C, with market-implied odds clustering on those three outcomes. Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern limit surface heating; thick stratiform and convective clouds reduce incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from rain further caps temperatures. Official guidance from regional models shows highs around 19–20 °C under mostly overcast skies and 85–95 % rain probability, yet brief afternoon breaks in cloud could allow shortwave heating to push readings to 21 °C. Traders are weighting these microphysical and radiative uncertainties, producing closely matched probabilities rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 अगस्त को मैक्सिको सिटी में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24 अगस्त को मैक्सिको सिटी में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
20°C 37%
21°C 31%
19°C 16%
22°C 11%
नया
नया
24 अग, 2026
15°C या उससे कम
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
5%
19°C
16%
20°C
37%
21°C
31%
22°C
11%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C या उससे अधिक
1%
20°C 37%
21°C 31%
19°C 16%
22°C 11%
नया
नया
24 अग, 2026
15°C या उससे कम
$135 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
2%
17°C
$16 वॉल्यूम
8%
18°C
$174 वॉल्यूम
5%
19°C
$71 वॉल्यूम
16%
20°C
$259 वॉल्यूम
37%
21°C
$169 वॉल्यूम
31%
22°C
$84 वॉल्यूम
11%
23°C
$117 वॉल्यूम
5%
24°C
$72 वॉल्यूम
2%
25°C या उससे अधिक
$70 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 24 are the main drivers keeping Mexico City’s daily maximum near 19–21 °C, with market-implied odds clustering on those three outcomes. Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern limit surface heating; thick stratiform and convective clouds reduce incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from rain further caps temperatures. Official guidance from regional models shows highs around 19–20 °C under mostly overcast skies and 85–95 % rain probability, yet brief afternoon breaks in cloud could allow shortwave heating to push readings to 21 °C. Traders are weighting these microphysical and radiative uncertainties, producing closely matched probabilities rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,171समाप्ति तिथि
24 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 24 are the main drivers keeping Mexico City’s daily maximum near 19–21 °C, with market-implied odds clustering on those three outcomes. Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern limit surface heating; thick stratiform and convective clouds reduce incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from rain further caps temperatures. Official guidance from regional models shows highs around 19–20 °C under mostly overcast skies and 85–95 % rain probability, yet brief afternoon breaks in cloud could allow shortwave heating to push readings to 21 °C. Traders are weighting these microphysical and radiative uncertainties, producing closely matched probabilities rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,171समाप्ति तिथि
24 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 24 are the main drivers keeping Mexico City’s daily maximum near 19–21 °C, with market-implied odds clustering on those three outcomes. Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern limit surface heating; thick stratiform and convective clouds reduce incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from rain further caps temperatures. Official guidance from regional models shows highs around 19–20 °C under mostly overcast skies and 85–95 % rain probability, yet brief afternoon breaks in cloud could allow shortwave heating to push readings to 21 °C. Traders are weighting these microphysical and radiative uncertainties, producing closely matched probabilities rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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