Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature of 70–73°F for San Francisco on August 7, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits daytime warming along the immediate coast. Typical August climatology features an average high near 69–70°F, with sea-surface temperatures and coastal upwelling suppressing heat buildup; recent ensemble runs show only modest deviations from this baseline absent a stronger offshore ridge. Traders have priced the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins highest because forecast uncertainty remains centered on the strength of the sea breeze and any late-day clearing, while probabilities drop sharply above 75°F given historical rarity and the current lack of extreme-heat signals in NOAA guidance. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया7 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
7 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 15%
74-75°F 9%
नया
नया
7 अग, 2026
65°F या उससे कम
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F या अधिक
<1%
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 15%
74-75°F 9%
नया
नया
7 अग, 2026
65°F या उससे कम
$35 वॉल्यूम
1%
66-67°F
$786 वॉल्यूम
3%
68-69°F
$37 वॉल्यूम
15%
70-71°F
$828 वॉल्यूम
43%
72-73°F
$29 वॉल्यूम
31%
74-75°F
$128 वॉल्यूम
9%
76-77°F
$145 वॉल्यूम
3%
78-79°F
$232 वॉल्यूम
1%
80-81°F
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
82-83°F
$101 वॉल्यूम
<1%
84°F या अधिक
$406 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature of 70–73°F for San Francisco on August 7, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits daytime warming along the immediate coast. Typical August climatology features an average high near 69–70°F, with sea-surface temperatures and coastal upwelling suppressing heat buildup; recent ensemble runs show only modest deviations from this baseline absent a stronger offshore ridge. Traders have priced the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins highest because forecast uncertainty remains centered on the strength of the sea breeze and any late-day clearing, while probabilities drop sharply above 75°F given historical rarity and the current lack of extreme-heat signals in NOAA guidance. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,737समाप्ति तिथि
7 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature of 70–73°F for San Francisco on August 7, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits daytime warming along the immediate coast. Typical August climatology features an average high near 69–70°F, with sea-surface temperatures and coastal upwelling suppressing heat buildup; recent ensemble runs show only modest deviations from this baseline absent a stronger offshore ridge. Traders have priced the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins highest because forecast uncertainty remains centered on the strength of the sea breeze and any late-day clearing, while probabilities drop sharply above 75°F given historical rarity and the current lack of extreme-heat signals in NOAA guidance. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,737समाप्ति तिथि
7 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature of 70–73°F for San Francisco on August 7, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits daytime warming along the immediate coast. Typical August climatology features an average high near 69–70°F, with sea-surface temperatures and coastal upwelling suppressing heat buildup; recent ensemble runs show only modest deviations from this baseline absent a stronger offshore ridge. Traders have priced the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins highest because forecast uncertainty remains centered on the strength of the sea breeze and any late-day clearing, while probabilities drop sharply above 75°F given historical rarity and the current lack of extreme-heat signals in NOAA guidance. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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