Current short-range forecast models from agencies like INMET and global ensembles show São Paulo under partly cloudy conditions with a warming trend, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 28–30 °C on August 13. This aligns with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 29 °C (40 %) and 30 °C (26.5 %), reflecting trader consensus on moderate northerly flow and limited cloud cover that allows daytime heating above the August climatological average of ~24 °C. Key variables include model agreement on dew-point recovery and minimal precipitation, though small spreads in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अगस्त को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 40%
30°C 30%
31°C 20%
28°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
40%
30°C
30%
31°C
20%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 40%
30°C 30%
31°C 20%
28°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
40%
30°C
30%
31°C
20%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from agencies like INMET and global ensembles show São Paulo under partly cloudy conditions with a warming trend, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 28–30 °C on August 13. This aligns with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 29 °C (40 %) and 30 °C (26.5 %), reflecting trader consensus on moderate northerly flow and limited cloud cover that allows daytime heating above the August climatological average of ~24 °C. Key variables include model agreement on dew-point recovery and minimal precipitation, though small spreads in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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