The current Republican 9-8 edge in Pennsylvania’s 17 congressional districts, combined with four GOP-held seats decided by narrow margins in 2024, anchors trader expectations for modest Democratic gains. Competitive races in districts such as PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10, along with the typical midterm penalty for the president’s party, position 9 or 10 Democratic seats as the most probable outcomes. Primary results from May 2026 and state-level Democratic momentum from recent legislative and court contests reinforce this range, while structural factors like incumbency and district demographics limit prospects for larger swings. National generic ballot trends and the November 2026 timeline further shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 50%
8 28%
9 20%
11 12%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
7 से कम
2%
7
5%
8
17%
9
20%
10
50%
11
12%
12+
2%
10 50%
8 28%
9 20%
11 12%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
7 से कम
$123 वॉल्यूम
2%
7
$123 वॉल्यूम
5%
8
$228 वॉल्यूम
17%
9
$216 वॉल्यूम
20%
10
$369 वॉल्यूम
50%
11
$247 वॉल्यूम
12%
12+
$123 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.The current Republican 9-8 edge in Pennsylvania’s 17 congressional districts, combined with four GOP-held seats decided by narrow margins in 2024, anchors trader expectations for modest Democratic gains. Competitive races in districts such as PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10, along with the typical midterm penalty for the president’s party, position 9 or 10 Democratic seats as the most probable outcomes. Primary results from May 2026 and state-level Democratic momentum from recent legislative and court contests reinforce this range, while structural factors like incumbency and district demographics limit prospects for larger swings. National generic ballot trends and the November 2026 timeline further shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,428समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.The current Republican 9-8 edge in Pennsylvania’s 17 congressional districts, combined with four GOP-held seats decided by narrow margins in 2024, anchors trader expectations for modest Democratic gains. Competitive races in districts such as PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10, along with the typical midterm penalty for the president’s party, position 9 or 10 Democratic seats as the most probable outcomes. Primary results from May 2026 and state-level Democratic momentum from recent legislative and court contests reinforce this range, while structural factors like incumbency and district demographics limit prospects for larger swings. National generic ballot trends and the November 2026 timeline further shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,428समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The current Republican 9-8 edge in Pennsylvania’s 17 congressional districts, combined with four GOP-held seats decided by narrow margins in 2024, anchors trader expectations for modest Democratic gains. Competitive races in districts such as PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10, along with the typical midterm penalty for the president’s party, position 9 or 10 Democratic seats as the most probable outcomes. Primary results from May 2026 and state-level Democratic momentum from recent legislative and court contests reinforce this range, while structural factors like incumbency and district demographics limit prospects for larger swings. National generic ballot trends and the November 2026 timeline further shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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