Idaho's deeply Republican electorate and Jim Risch's status as a four-term incumbent have anchored trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 2026 Senate contest. Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with over 67 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democratic nominee David Roth withdrew after independent former state representative Todd Achilles entered the race with party support. Recent polling shows Risch holding double-digit leads, consistent with the state's voting patterns and historical Senate margins. Traders price the Republican outcome near 96 percent, reflecting the structural barriers for any challenger. A late scandal, health development affecting Risch, or unusually strong Achilles turnout could narrow the race, though such shifts would require significant movement from established baselines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$28,675 वॉल्यूम
$28,675 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
96%
डेमोक्रेट
5%
$28,675 वॉल्यूम
$28,675 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
$14,658 वॉल्यूम
96%
डेमोक्रेट
$14,016 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's deeply Republican electorate and Jim Risch's status as a four-term incumbent have anchored trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 2026 Senate contest. Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with over 67 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democratic nominee David Roth withdrew after independent former state representative Todd Achilles entered the race with party support. Recent polling shows Risch holding double-digit leads, consistent with the state's voting patterns and historical Senate margins. Traders price the Republican outcome near 96 percent, reflecting the structural barriers for any challenger. A late scandal, health development affecting Risch, or unusually strong Achilles turnout could narrow the race, though such shifts would require significant movement from established baselines.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,675समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's deeply Republican electorate and Jim Risch's status as a four-term incumbent have anchored trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 2026 Senate contest. Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with over 67 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democratic nominee David Roth withdrew after independent former state representative Todd Achilles entered the race with party support. Recent polling shows Risch holding double-digit leads, consistent with the state's voting patterns and historical Senate margins. Traders price the Republican outcome near 96 percent, reflecting the structural barriers for any challenger. A late scandal, health development affecting Risch, or unusually strong Achilles turnout could narrow the race, though such shifts would require significant movement from established baselines.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$28,675समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's deeply Republican electorate and Jim Risch's status as a four-term incumbent have anchored trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 2026 Senate contest. Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with over 67 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democratic nominee David Roth withdrew after independent former state representative Todd Achilles entered the race with party support. Recent polling shows Risch holding double-digit leads, consistent with the state's voting patterns and historical Senate margins. Traders price the Republican outcome near 96 percent, reflecting the structural barriers for any challenger. A late scandal, health development affecting Risch, or unusually strong Achilles turnout could narrow the race, though such shifts would require significant movement from established baselines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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