Incumbent Republican Rep. Riley Moore's unchallenged victory in the May 12 primary has reinforced trader consensus favoring the GOP at 96.4% implied probability to retain West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. The district's deep-red partisan lean, demonstrated by Moore's decisive 2024 general election win, combined with Democratic nominee Ace Parsi's low-profile primary advance and lack of competitive polling or fundraising momentum, drives this lopsided positioning. With the general election on November 3, 2026, traders price in minimal upset risk absent a major scandal, health event for Moore, or unprecedented national Democratic wave shifting battleground turnout.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWV -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
WV -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$65,687 वॉल्यूम
$65,687 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
4%
$65,687 वॉल्यूम
$65,687 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$39,630 वॉल्यूम
96%
Democratic Party
$26,057 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Riley Moore's unchallenged victory in the May 12 primary has reinforced trader consensus favoring the GOP at 96.4% implied probability to retain West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. The district's deep-red partisan lean, demonstrated by Moore's decisive 2024 general election win, combined with Democratic nominee Ace Parsi's low-profile primary advance and lack of competitive polling or fundraising momentum, drives this lopsided positioning. With the general election on November 3, 2026, traders price in minimal upset risk absent a major scandal, health event for Moore, or unprecedented national Democratic wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$65,687समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Riley Moore's unchallenged victory in the May 12 primary has reinforced trader consensus favoring the GOP at 96.4% implied probability to retain West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. The district's deep-red partisan lean, demonstrated by Moore's decisive 2024 general election win, combined with Democratic nominee Ace Parsi's low-profile primary advance and lack of competitive polling or fundraising momentum, drives this lopsided positioning. With the general election on November 3, 2026, traders price in minimal upset risk absent a major scandal, health event for Moore, or unprecedented national Democratic wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$65,687समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Riley Moore's unchallenged victory in the May 12 primary has reinforced trader consensus favoring the GOP at 96.4% implied probability to retain West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. The district's deep-red partisan lean, demonstrated by Moore's decisive 2024 general election win, combined with Democratic nominee Ace Parsi's low-profile primary advance and lack of competitive polling or fundraising momentum, drives this lopsided positioning. With the general election on November 3, 2026, traders price in minimal upset risk absent a major scandal, health event for Moore, or unprecedented national Democratic wave shifting battleground turnout.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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