Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the nomination in Illinois' 5th Congressional District's March 17 primary with a comfortable margin over challengers, setting up a rematch against Republican Tom Hanson, who previously underperformed in the district rated D+19 by Cook Political Report. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects the seat's consistent blue lean in Chicago's North Side suburbs, Quigley's fundraising edge, and historical margins exceeding 25 points, with no polling or recent events indicating a competitive general election on November 3. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal, health issue for Quigley, or an overwhelming national Republican wave, though structural district demographics pose significant barriers to a GOP upset.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIL-05 House Election Winner
IL-05 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,244 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$1,491 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the nomination in Illinois' 5th Congressional District's March 17 primary with a comfortable margin over challengers, setting up a rematch against Republican Tom Hanson, who previously underperformed in the district rated D+19 by Cook Political Report. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects the seat's consistent blue lean in Chicago's North Side suburbs, Quigley's fundraising edge, and historical margins exceeding 25 points, with no polling or recent events indicating a competitive general election on November 3. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal, health issue for Quigley, or an overwhelming national Republican wave, though structural district demographics pose significant barriers to a GOP upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,734समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the nomination in Illinois' 5th Congressional District's March 17 primary with a comfortable margin over challengers, setting up a rematch against Republican Tom Hanson, who previously underperformed in the district rated D+19 by Cook Political Report. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects the seat's consistent blue lean in Chicago's North Side suburbs, Quigley's fundraising edge, and historical margins exceeding 25 points, with no polling or recent events indicating a competitive general election on November 3. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal, health issue for Quigley, or an overwhelming national Republican wave, though structural district demographics pose significant barriers to a GOP upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$4,734समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the nomination in Illinois' 5th Congressional District's March 17 primary with a comfortable margin over challengers, setting up a rematch against Republican Tom Hanson, who previously underperformed in the district rated D+19 by Cook Political Report. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects the seat's consistent blue lean in Chicago's North Side suburbs, Quigley's fundraising edge, and historical margins exceeding 25 points, with no polling or recent events indicating a competitive general election on November 3. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal, health issue for Quigley, or an overwhelming national Republican wave, though structural district demographics pose significant barriers to a GOP upset.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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