Illinois's 5th Congressional District carries a D+19 partisan voter index and delivered a 38-point Democratic margin in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage that shapes trader consensus. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Quigley's concurrent Chicago mayoral bid introduces some uncertainty around future vacancy timing but has not altered the general-election trajectory. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented swing in a district with consistent double-digit Democratic margins and limited GOP infrastructure.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIL-05 House Election Winner
IL-05 House Election Winner
$25,257 वॉल्यूम
$25,257 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$25,257 वॉल्यूम
$25,257 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,961 वॉल्यूम
96%
Republican Party
$16,296 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 5th Congressional District carries a D+19 partisan voter index and delivered a 38-point Democratic margin in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage that shapes trader consensus. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Quigley's concurrent Chicago mayoral bid introduces some uncertainty around future vacancy timing but has not altered the general-election trajectory. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented swing in a district with consistent double-digit Democratic margins and limited GOP infrastructure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,257समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 5th Congressional District carries a D+19 partisan voter index and delivered a 38-point Democratic margin in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage that shapes trader consensus. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Quigley's concurrent Chicago mayoral bid introduces some uncertainty around future vacancy timing but has not altered the general-election trajectory. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented swing in a district with consistent double-digit Democratic margins and limited GOP infrastructure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$25,257समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 5th Congressional District carries a D+19 partisan voter index and delivered a 38-point Democratic margin in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage that shapes trader consensus. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Quigley's concurrent Chicago mayoral bid introduces some uncertainty around future vacancy timing but has not altered the general-election trajectory. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented swing in a district with consistent double-digit Democratic margins and limited GOP infrastructure.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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