Incumbent Republican Rep. Darin LaHood's unchallenged path through the March 17, 2026, primary solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in the solidly red Illinois 16th Congressional District, where Donald Trump carried the area by over 22 points in 2020 and LaHood ran unopposed in 2024. Democratic nominee Paul Nolley, a union-backed working-class advocate who also faced no primary opposition, trails significantly due to the district's entrenched Republican leanings, limited campaign resources, and absence of recent polling showing competitiveness. With no major developments like scandals, endorsements, or shifts in national midterms sentiment in the past 30 days, markets reflect historical incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election, though late-breaking events could introduce volatility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIL-16 House Election Winner
IL-16 House Election Winner
$12,361 वॉल्यूम
$12,361 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
10%
$12,361 वॉल्यूम
$12,361 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$3,728 वॉल्यूम
88%
Democratic Party
$8,633 वॉल्यूम
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Darin LaHood's unchallenged path through the March 17, 2026, primary solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in the solidly red Illinois 16th Congressional District, where Donald Trump carried the area by over 22 points in 2020 and LaHood ran unopposed in 2024. Democratic nominee Paul Nolley, a union-backed working-class advocate who also faced no primary opposition, trails significantly due to the district's entrenched Republican leanings, limited campaign resources, and absence of recent polling showing competitiveness. With no major developments like scandals, endorsements, or shifts in national midterms sentiment in the past 30 days, markets reflect historical incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election, though late-breaking events could introduce volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,361समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Darin LaHood's unchallenged path through the March 17, 2026, primary solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in the solidly red Illinois 16th Congressional District, where Donald Trump carried the area by over 22 points in 2020 and LaHood ran unopposed in 2024. Democratic nominee Paul Nolley, a union-backed working-class advocate who also faced no primary opposition, trails significantly due to the district's entrenched Republican leanings, limited campaign resources, and absence of recent polling showing competitiveness. With no major developments like scandals, endorsements, or shifts in national midterms sentiment in the past 30 days, markets reflect historical incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election, though late-breaking events could introduce volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$12,361समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Darin LaHood's unchallenged path through the March 17, 2026, primary solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in the solidly red Illinois 16th Congressional District, where Donald Trump carried the area by over 22 points in 2020 and LaHood ran unopposed in 2024. Democratic nominee Paul Nolley, a union-backed working-class advocate who also faced no primary opposition, trails significantly due to the district's entrenched Republican leanings, limited campaign resources, and absence of recent polling showing competitiveness. With no major developments like scandals, endorsements, or shifts in national midterms sentiment in the past 30 days, markets reflect historical incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election, though late-breaking events could introduce volatility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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