Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 16th congressional district. The rural and suburban northern Illinois seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaHood, first elected in a 2015 special election and re-elected without opposition in 2024, secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary; Nolley advanced similarly on the Democratic side. The district’s established Republican tilt, combined with the structural advantages of incumbency and limited recent polling shifts, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or health-related withdrawal remain the principal variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIL-16 House Election Winner
IL-16 House Election Winner
$31,418 वॉल्यूम
$31,418 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$31,418 वॉल्यूम
$31,418 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$13,462 वॉल्यूम
93%
Democratic Party
$17,956 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 16th congressional district. The rural and suburban northern Illinois seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaHood, first elected in a 2015 special election and re-elected without opposition in 2024, secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary; Nolley advanced similarly on the Democratic side. The district’s established Republican tilt, combined with the structural advantages of incumbency and limited recent polling shifts, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or health-related withdrawal remain the principal variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$31,418समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 16th congressional district. The rural and suburban northern Illinois seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaHood, first elected in a 2015 special election and re-elected without opposition in 2024, secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary; Nolley advanced similarly on the Democratic side. The district’s established Republican tilt, combined with the structural advantages of incumbency and limited recent polling shifts, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or health-related withdrawal remain the principal variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$31,418समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 16th congressional district. The rural and suburban northern Illinois seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaHood, first elected in a 2015 special election and re-elected without opposition in 2024, secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary; Nolley advanced similarly on the Democratic side. The district’s established Republican tilt, combined with the structural advantages of incumbency and limited recent polling shifts, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or health-related withdrawal remain the principal variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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