The solidly Republican character of Kansas’s 1st Congressional District, rated R+16 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee will win the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tracey Mann has secured repeated double-digit victories in prior cycles and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while the Democratic primary field remains limited to challengers with modest resources and low statewide profiles. The filing deadline and August primaries are still months away, leaving room for late developments. A major scandal involving the Republican nominee, a sudden health issue, or the emergence of a high-profile Democratic recruit could narrow the margin, though structural partisan advantages and historical voting patterns make such shifts unlikely without significant new information.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$1,943 वॉल्यूम
92%
Democratic Party
$1,526 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Kansas’s 1st Congressional District, rated R+16 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee will win the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tracey Mann has secured repeated double-digit victories in prior cycles and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while the Democratic primary field remains limited to challengers with modest resources and low statewide profiles. The filing deadline and August primaries are still months away, leaving room for late developments. A major scandal involving the Republican nominee, a sudden health issue, or the emergence of a high-profile Democratic recruit could narrow the margin, though structural partisan advantages and historical voting patterns make such shifts unlikely without significant new information.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,468समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Kansas’s 1st Congressional District, rated R+16 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee will win the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tracey Mann has secured repeated double-digit victories in prior cycles and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while the Democratic primary field remains limited to challengers with modest resources and low statewide profiles. The filing deadline and August primaries are still months away, leaving room for late developments. A major scandal involving the Republican nominee, a sudden health issue, or the emergence of a high-profile Democratic recruit could narrow the margin, though structural partisan advantages and historical voting patterns make such shifts unlikely without significant new information.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$3,468समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Kansas’s 1st Congressional District, rated R+16 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee will win the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tracey Mann has secured repeated double-digit victories in prior cycles and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while the Democratic primary field remains limited to challengers with modest resources and low statewide profiles. The filing deadline and August primaries are still months away, leaving room for late developments. A major scandal involving the Republican nominee, a sudden health issue, or the emergence of a high-profile Democratic recruit could narrow the margin, though structural partisan advantages and historical voting patterns make such shifts unlikely without significant new information.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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