Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Megan Wingfield and independent Thomas Loecken in the November general. Kentucky's 2nd district carries an R+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index, delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, and has not elected a Democrat since the 19th century. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting low turnover and the incumbent's long tenure since 2009. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, serious health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाKY-02 House Election Winner
KY-02 House Election Winner
$11,970 वॉल्यूम
$11,970 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$11,970 वॉल्यूम
$11,970 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$6,022 वॉल्यूम
95%
Democratic Party
$5,948 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Megan Wingfield and independent Thomas Loecken in the November general. Kentucky's 2nd district carries an R+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index, delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, and has not elected a Democrat since the 19th century. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting low turnover and the incumbent's long tenure since 2009. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, serious health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,970समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Megan Wingfield and independent Thomas Loecken in the November general. Kentucky's 2nd district carries an R+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index, delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, and has not elected a Democrat since the 19th century. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting low turnover and the incumbent's long tenure since 2009. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, serious health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$11,970समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Megan Wingfield and independent Thomas Loecken in the November general. Kentucky's 2nd district carries an R+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index, delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, and has not elected a Democrat since the 19th century. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting low turnover and the incumbent's long tenure since 2009. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, serious health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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