Texas’s 30th congressional district covers urban portions of Dallas and surrounding communities in Dallas and Tarrant counties, featuring a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and a diverse electorate with substantial Black and Hispanic populations. The seat became open after incumbent Democrat Jasmine Crockett retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. Democrat Frederick Haynes won the March 2026 primary outright, while Republican Everett Jackson advanced from the May runoff. These outcomes, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House cycles, underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing or significant local disruption, neither of which has materialized in the current cycle.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX-30 House Election Winner
TX-30 House Election Winner
$10,206 वॉल्यूम
$10,206 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$10,206 वॉल्यूम
$10,206 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,378 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$4,829 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 30th congressional district covers urban portions of Dallas and surrounding communities in Dallas and Tarrant counties, featuring a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and a diverse electorate with substantial Black and Hispanic populations. The seat became open after incumbent Democrat Jasmine Crockett retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. Democrat Frederick Haynes won the March 2026 primary outright, while Republican Everett Jackson advanced from the May runoff. These outcomes, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House cycles, underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing or significant local disruption, neither of which has materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,206समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 30th congressional district covers urban portions of Dallas and surrounding communities in Dallas and Tarrant counties, featuring a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and a diverse electorate with substantial Black and Hispanic populations. The seat became open after incumbent Democrat Jasmine Crockett retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. Democrat Frederick Haynes won the March 2026 primary outright, while Republican Everett Jackson advanced from the May runoff. These outcomes, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House cycles, underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing or significant local disruption, neither of which has materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$10,206समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas’s 30th congressional district covers urban portions of Dallas and surrounding communities in Dallas and Tarrant counties, featuring a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and a diverse electorate with substantial Black and Hispanic populations. The seat became open after incumbent Democrat Jasmine Crockett retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. Democrat Frederick Haynes won the March 2026 primary outright, while Republican Everett Jackson advanced from the May runoff. These outcomes, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House cycles, underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing or significant local disruption, neither of which has materialized in the current cycle.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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