Lloyd Smucker, the Republican incumbent since 2019, holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat’s Republican lean—reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and Smucker’s 63% margin in 2024—underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 86.5%. Both major-party candidates, Smucker and Democrat Nancy Mannion, advanced unopposed through May 19 primaries, with no subsequent polling shifts or fundraising surges altering the landscape. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation but poses limited threat. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of district-specific scandals or national tailwinds for Democrats further anchor the implied probabilities, though late-cycle developments remain possible before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA-11 House Election Winner
PA-11 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
12%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$2,640 वॉल्यूम
87%
Democratic Party
$1,082 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lloyd Smucker, the Republican incumbent since 2019, holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat’s Republican lean—reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and Smucker’s 63% margin in 2024—underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 86.5%. Both major-party candidates, Smucker and Democrat Nancy Mannion, advanced unopposed through May 19 primaries, with no subsequent polling shifts or fundraising surges altering the landscape. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation but poses limited threat. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of district-specific scandals or national tailwinds for Democrats further anchor the implied probabilities, though late-cycle developments remain possible before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,722समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lloyd Smucker, the Republican incumbent since 2019, holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat’s Republican lean—reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and Smucker’s 63% margin in 2024—underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 86.5%. Both major-party candidates, Smucker and Democrat Nancy Mannion, advanced unopposed through May 19 primaries, with no subsequent polling shifts or fundraising surges altering the landscape. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation but poses limited threat. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of district-specific scandals or national tailwinds for Democrats further anchor the implied probabilities, though late-cycle developments remain possible before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$3,722समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lloyd Smucker, the Republican incumbent since 2019, holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat’s Republican lean—reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and Smucker’s 63% margin in 2024—underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 86.5%. Both major-party candidates, Smucker and Democrat Nancy Mannion, advanced unopposed through May 19 primaries, with no subsequent polling shifts or fundraising surges altering the landscape. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation but poses limited threat. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of district-specific scandals or national tailwinds for Democrats further anchor the implied probabilities, though late-cycle developments remain possible before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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