South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a safe Republican hold in trader consensus, reflecting the state's R+16 partisan lean and history of lopsided House results, including incumbent Dusty Johnson's 72% reelection in 2024 before his June 2025 gubernatorial announcement opened the seat. Recent Mason-Dixon polling from April 7–11 shows Attorney General Marty Jackley dominating the June 2 Republican primary at 68% against James Bialota's 12%, bolstered by Donald Trump's March endorsement and state Sen. Casey Crabtree's February withdrawal in his favor, with Jackley holding over $1 million cash on hand. Democrat Nicole Gronli advanced unopposed but trails in fundraising at under $100,000, facing an independent. Barring a primary upset, scandal, or national Democratic wave, odds favor a straightforward GOP general election victory on November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$16,931 वॉल्यूम
$16,931 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$16,931 वॉल्यूम
$16,931 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$9,474 वॉल्यूम
94%
Democratic Party
$7,457 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a safe Republican hold in trader consensus, reflecting the state's R+16 partisan lean and history of lopsided House results, including incumbent Dusty Johnson's 72% reelection in 2024 before his June 2025 gubernatorial announcement opened the seat. Recent Mason-Dixon polling from April 7–11 shows Attorney General Marty Jackley dominating the June 2 Republican primary at 68% against James Bialota's 12%, bolstered by Donald Trump's March endorsement and state Sen. Casey Crabtree's February withdrawal in his favor, with Jackley holding over $1 million cash on hand. Democrat Nicole Gronli advanced unopposed but trails in fundraising at under $100,000, facing an independent. Barring a primary upset, scandal, or national Democratic wave, odds favor a straightforward GOP general election victory on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,931समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a safe Republican hold in trader consensus, reflecting the state's R+16 partisan lean and history of lopsided House results, including incumbent Dusty Johnson's 72% reelection in 2024 before his June 2025 gubernatorial announcement opened the seat. Recent Mason-Dixon polling from April 7–11 shows Attorney General Marty Jackley dominating the June 2 Republican primary at 68% against James Bialota's 12%, bolstered by Donald Trump's March endorsement and state Sen. Casey Crabtree's February withdrawal in his favor, with Jackley holding over $1 million cash on hand. Democrat Nicole Gronli advanced unopposed but trails in fundraising at under $100,000, facing an independent. Barring a primary upset, scandal, or national Democratic wave, odds favor a straightforward GOP general election victory on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$16,931समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a safe Republican hold in trader consensus, reflecting the state's R+16 partisan lean and history of lopsided House results, including incumbent Dusty Johnson's 72% reelection in 2024 before his June 2025 gubernatorial announcement opened the seat. Recent Mason-Dixon polling from April 7–11 shows Attorney General Marty Jackley dominating the June 2 Republican primary at 68% against James Bialota's 12%, bolstered by Donald Trump's March endorsement and state Sen. Casey Crabtree's February withdrawal in his favor, with Jackley holding over $1 million cash on hand. Democrat Nicole Gronli advanced unopposed but trails in fundraising at under $100,000, facing an independent. Barring a primary upset, scandal, or national Democratic wave, odds favor a straightforward GOP general election victory on November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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