South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a Republican stronghold ahead of the November 2026 general election, driving the elevated trader consensus around an 85.5% implied probability for the Republican Party outcome. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 74% of the vote, consolidating support against challengers and underscoring limited intra-party division. Democratic candidates advanced to a June 23 runoff, but the party's overall positioning in the district continues to reflect structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election margins. Markets assign lower probabilities to Democratic or alternative outcomes consistent with historical base rates for this seat. Key upcoming factors include general election turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments that could influence swing voter behavior in this safely Republican-leaning constituency.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाSC -02 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
SC -02 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$34,857 वॉल्यूम
$34,857 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
86%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
15%
$34,857 वॉल्यूम
$34,857 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$12,210 वॉल्यूम
86%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$22,646 वॉल्यूम
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a Republican stronghold ahead of the November 2026 general election, driving the elevated trader consensus around an 85.5% implied probability for the Republican Party outcome. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 74% of the vote, consolidating support against challengers and underscoring limited intra-party division. Democratic candidates advanced to a June 23 runoff, but the party's overall positioning in the district continues to reflect structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election margins. Markets assign lower probabilities to Democratic or alternative outcomes consistent with historical base rates for this seat. Key upcoming factors include general election turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments that could influence swing voter behavior in this safely Republican-leaning constituency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$34,857समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a Republican stronghold ahead of the November 2026 general election, driving the elevated trader consensus around an 85.5% implied probability for the Republican Party outcome. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 74% of the vote, consolidating support against challengers and underscoring limited intra-party division. Democratic candidates advanced to a June 23 runoff, but the party's overall positioning in the district continues to reflect structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election margins. Markets assign lower probabilities to Democratic or alternative outcomes consistent with historical base rates for this seat. Key upcoming factors include general election turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments that could influence swing voter behavior in this safely Republican-leaning constituency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$34,857समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a Republican stronghold ahead of the November 2026 general election, driving the elevated trader consensus around an 85.5% implied probability for the Republican Party outcome. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 74% of the vote, consolidating support against challengers and underscoring limited intra-party division. Democratic candidates advanced to a June 23 runoff, but the party's overall positioning in the district continues to reflect structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election margins. Markets assign lower probabilities to Democratic or alternative outcomes consistent with historical base rates for this seat. Key upcoming factors include general election turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments that could influence swing voter behavior in this safely Republican-leaning constituency.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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