**The open TX-22 seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent past election margins, underpins the 91.5% Republican implied probability.** Troy Nehls's retirement created an open race, but his identical twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March 3, 2026 primary by wide margins across key counties, preserving name recognition and party infrastructure. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott faces a structurally challenging path in this Houston-area exurban district. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid R rating. Late-cycle developments such as national economic shifts, turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters in Fort Bend or Harris County portions, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues could narrow the gap, though the current consensus pricing shows limited expectation of such movement before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
$20,282 वॉल्यूम
$20,282 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$20,282 वॉल्यूम
$20,282 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$10,693 वॉल्यूम
92%
Democratic Party
$9,589 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The open TX-22 seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent past election margins, underpins the 91.5% Republican implied probability.** Troy Nehls's retirement created an open race, but his identical twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March 3, 2026 primary by wide margins across key counties, preserving name recognition and party infrastructure. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott faces a structurally challenging path in this Houston-area exurban district. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid R rating. Late-cycle developments such as national economic shifts, turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters in Fort Bend or Harris County portions, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues could narrow the gap, though the current consensus pricing shows limited expectation of such movement before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,282समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The open TX-22 seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent past election margins, underpins the 91.5% Republican implied probability.** Troy Nehls's retirement created an open race, but his identical twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March 3, 2026 primary by wide margins across key counties, preserving name recognition and party infrastructure. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott faces a structurally challenging path in this Houston-area exurban district. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid R rating. Late-cycle developments such as national economic shifts, turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters in Fort Bend or Harris County portions, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues could narrow the gap, though the current consensus pricing shows limited expectation of such movement before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$20,282समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The open TX-22 seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent past election margins, underpins the 91.5% Republican implied probability.** Troy Nehls's retirement created an open race, but his identical twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March 3, 2026 primary by wide margins across key counties, preserving name recognition and party infrastructure. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott faces a structurally challenging path in this Houston-area exurban district. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid R rating. Late-cycle developments such as national economic shifts, turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters in Fort Bend or Harris County portions, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues could narrow the gap, though the current consensus pricing shows limited expectation of such movement before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न