Texas's 22nd congressional district holds an R+11 partisan voting index and delivered an 11.5-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Incumbent Troy Nehls retired ahead of the 2026 cycle, but his identical twin Trever Nehls captured the Republican nomination in the March primary with strong margins. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott secured her party's nod yet confronts structural disadvantages in a seat rated Lean or Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican reflects these fundamentals plus limited recent polling or campaign activity indicating momentum for the challenger. A pronounced national environment favoring Democrats, a significant Republican scandal, or sharply elevated Democratic turnout in key counties represent the primary pathways that could narrow the outcome, though current district dynamics make such shifts low-probability events before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
$20,282 वॉल्यूम
$20,282 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$20,282 वॉल्यूम
$20,282 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$10,693 वॉल्यूम
92%
Democratic Party
$9,589 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district holds an R+11 partisan voting index and delivered an 11.5-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Incumbent Troy Nehls retired ahead of the 2026 cycle, but his identical twin Trever Nehls captured the Republican nomination in the March primary with strong margins. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott secured her party's nod yet confronts structural disadvantages in a seat rated Lean or Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican reflects these fundamentals plus limited recent polling or campaign activity indicating momentum for the challenger. A pronounced national environment favoring Democrats, a significant Republican scandal, or sharply elevated Democratic turnout in key counties represent the primary pathways that could narrow the outcome, though current district dynamics make such shifts low-probability events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,282समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district holds an R+11 partisan voting index and delivered an 11.5-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Incumbent Troy Nehls retired ahead of the 2026 cycle, but his identical twin Trever Nehls captured the Republican nomination in the March primary with strong margins. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott secured her party's nod yet confronts structural disadvantages in a seat rated Lean or Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican reflects these fundamentals plus limited recent polling or campaign activity indicating momentum for the challenger. A pronounced national environment favoring Democrats, a significant Republican scandal, or sharply elevated Democratic turnout in key counties represent the primary pathways that could narrow the outcome, though current district dynamics make such shifts low-probability events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$20,282समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 22nd congressional district holds an R+11 partisan voting index and delivered an 11.5-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Incumbent Troy Nehls retired ahead of the 2026 cycle, but his identical twin Trever Nehls captured the Republican nomination in the March primary with strong margins. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott secured her party's nod yet confronts structural disadvantages in a seat rated Lean or Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican reflects these fundamentals plus limited recent polling or campaign activity indicating momentum for the challenger. A pronounced national environment favoring Democrats, a significant Republican scandal, or sharply elevated Democratic turnout in key counties represent the primary pathways that could narrow the outcome, though current district dynamics make such shifts low-probability events before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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