Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 70.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Republican Scott Perry's vulnerability in this toss-up race amid a narrow GOP House majority of 217-212. A late April Cook Political Report battleground poll across 36 competitive districts, including PA-10, showed Democrats leading 50%-44% on generic ballots, with edges on economy, cost of living, immigration enforcement, and tariffs, fueled by 58% Trump disapproval and strong independent support. The May 19 Democratic primary between Janelle Stelson—2024's near-winner with superior fundraising—and Justin Douglas remains tight, setting up a likely rematch; Perry faces national Democratic targeting as a Freedom Caucus figurehead.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA-10 House Election Winner
PA-10 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
70%
Republican Party
31%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$57 वॉल्यूम
70%
Republican Party
$380 वॉल्यूम
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 70.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Republican Scott Perry's vulnerability in this toss-up race amid a narrow GOP House majority of 217-212. A late April Cook Political Report battleground poll across 36 competitive districts, including PA-10, showed Democrats leading 50%-44% on generic ballots, with edges on economy, cost of living, immigration enforcement, and tariffs, fueled by 58% Trump disapproval and strong independent support. The May 19 Democratic primary between Janelle Stelson—2024's near-winner with superior fundraising—and Justin Douglas remains tight, setting up a likely rematch; Perry faces national Democratic targeting as a Freedom Caucus figurehead.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$437समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 70.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Republican Scott Perry's vulnerability in this toss-up race amid a narrow GOP House majority of 217-212. A late April Cook Political Report battleground poll across 36 competitive districts, including PA-10, showed Democrats leading 50%-44% on generic ballots, with edges on economy, cost of living, immigration enforcement, and tariffs, fueled by 58% Trump disapproval and strong independent support. The May 19 Democratic primary between Janelle Stelson—2024's near-winner with superior fundraising—and Justin Douglas remains tight, setting up a likely rematch; Perry faces national Democratic targeting as a Freedom Caucus figurehead.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$437समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 70.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Republican Scott Perry's vulnerability in this toss-up race amid a narrow GOP House majority of 217-212. A late April Cook Political Report battleground poll across 36 competitive districts, including PA-10, showed Democrats leading 50%-44% on generic ballots, with edges on economy, cost of living, immigration enforcement, and tariffs, fueled by 58% Trump disapproval and strong independent support. The May 19 Democratic primary between Janelle Stelson—2024's near-winner with superior fundraising—and Justin Douglas remains tight, setting up a likely rematch; Perry faces national Democratic targeting as a Freedom Caucus figurehead.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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