Recent redistricting in May 2026 removed Davidson County from Tennessee's 5th congressional district, shifting its partisan balance and creating a map where the Republican presidential candidate carried the seat by 23 points in 2024. This structural change positions the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election, consistent with the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher, while Democrats including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder compete in their August 6 primary. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's new composition and limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTN -05 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
TN -05 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$28,568 वॉल्यूम
$28,568 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
76%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
22%
$28,568 वॉल्यूम
$28,568 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$13,550 वॉल्यूम
76%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$15,019 वॉल्यूम
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting in May 2026 removed Davidson County from Tennessee's 5th congressional district, shifting its partisan balance and creating a map where the Republican presidential candidate carried the seat by 23 points in 2024. This structural change positions the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election, consistent with the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher, while Democrats including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder compete in their August 6 primary. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's new composition and limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,568समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting in May 2026 removed Davidson County from Tennessee's 5th congressional district, shifting its partisan balance and creating a map where the Republican presidential candidate carried the seat by 23 points in 2024. This structural change positions the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election, consistent with the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher, while Democrats including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder compete in their August 6 primary. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's new composition and limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$28,568समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting in May 2026 removed Davidson County from Tennessee's 5th congressional district, shifting its partisan balance and creating a map where the Republican presidential candidate carried the seat by 23 points in 2024. This structural change positions the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election, consistent with the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher, while Democrats including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder compete in their August 6 primary. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's new composition and limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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