The strong Democratic lean of Washington’s 9th congressional district, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+22, underpins the 94% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith advanced from the August 4 top-two primary with roughly 47% of the vote, facing Republican Doug Basler. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Smith’s 65% win in 2024. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the Seattle-area suburbs. A significant shift would require an unusual national political realignment or unforeseen candidate-specific developments before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA -09 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
WA -09 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$29,095 वॉल्यूम
$29,095 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$29,095 वॉल्यूम
$29,095 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,539 वॉल्यूम
94%
Republican Party
$17,556 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Washington’s 9th congressional district, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+22, underpins the 94% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith advanced from the August 4 top-two primary with roughly 47% of the vote, facing Republican Doug Basler. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Smith’s 65% win in 2024. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the Seattle-area suburbs. A significant shift would require an unusual national political realignment or unforeseen candidate-specific developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,095समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Washington’s 9th congressional district, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+22, underpins the 94% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith advanced from the August 4 top-two primary with roughly 47% of the vote, facing Republican Doug Basler. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Smith’s 65% win in 2024. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the Seattle-area suburbs. A significant shift would require an unusual national political realignment or unforeseen candidate-specific developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$29,095समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Washington’s 9th congressional district, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+22, underpins the 94% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith advanced from the August 4 top-two primary with roughly 47% of the vote, facing Republican Doug Basler. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Smith’s 65% win in 2024. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the Seattle-area suburbs. A significant shift would require an unusual national political realignment or unforeseen candidate-specific developments before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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