Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5% in Washington's 9th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Adam Smith's (D) entrenched position after nearly three decades in office, bolstered by over $1.1 million raised as of late March. The May 8 filing deadline confirmed a weak Republican field—Douglas Michael Basler, Janis Clark, and C. Mark Greene—with no notable fundraising, alongside Democratic challenger Melissa Chaudhry and independents like Kshama Sawant. In the top-two primary on August 4, Smith is poised to advance easily. Upsets could arise from a primary shock excluding Smith, a breakout GOP nominee, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural advantages make these low-probability risks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA -09 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
WA -09 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,211 वॉल्यूम
93%
Republican Party
$5,711 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5% in Washington's 9th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Adam Smith's (D) entrenched position after nearly three decades in office, bolstered by over $1.1 million raised as of late March. The May 8 filing deadline confirmed a weak Republican field—Douglas Michael Basler, Janis Clark, and C. Mark Greene—with no notable fundraising, alongside Democratic challenger Melissa Chaudhry and independents like Kshama Sawant. In the top-two primary on August 4, Smith is poised to advance easily. Upsets could arise from a primary shock excluding Smith, a breakout GOP nominee, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural advantages make these low-probability risks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,922समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5% in Washington's 9th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Adam Smith's (D) entrenched position after nearly three decades in office, bolstered by over $1.1 million raised as of late March. The May 8 filing deadline confirmed a weak Republican field—Douglas Michael Basler, Janis Clark, and C. Mark Greene—with no notable fundraising, alongside Democratic challenger Melissa Chaudhry and independents like Kshama Sawant. In the top-two primary on August 4, Smith is poised to advance easily. Upsets could arise from a primary shock excluding Smith, a breakout GOP nominee, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural advantages make these low-probability risks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$7,922समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5% in Washington's 9th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Adam Smith's (D) entrenched position after nearly three decades in office, bolstered by over $1.1 million raised as of late March. The May 8 filing deadline confirmed a weak Republican field—Douglas Michael Basler, Janis Clark, and C. Mark Greene—with no notable fundraising, alongside Democratic challenger Melissa Chaudhry and independents like Kshama Sawant. In the top-two primary on August 4, Smith is poised to advance easily. Upsets could arise from a primary shock excluding Smith, a breakout GOP nominee, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural advantages make these low-probability risks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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