The open NY-21 seat, vacated after incumbent Elise Stefanik opted against reelection, features Republican nominee Anthony Constantino and Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien following June 2026 primaries. The district's upstate North Country profile and historical voting patterns favor Republican candidates in general elections. Prediction markets reflect this structural edge through consistent Republican pricing near 80 percent, driven by the nominee's business background and alignment with prevailing voter priorities in the area. Limited polling and Cook Political Report assessments classify the race as non-competitive, with no major late developments altering the balance. Scheduled general election voting on November 3, 2026, remains the key resolution trigger.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -21 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NY -21 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$52,400 वॉल्यूम
$52,400 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
79%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
19%
$52,400 वॉल्यूम
$52,400 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$24,404 वॉल्यूम
79%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$27,997 वॉल्यूम
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NY-21 seat, vacated after incumbent Elise Stefanik opted against reelection, features Republican nominee Anthony Constantino and Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien following June 2026 primaries. The district's upstate North Country profile and historical voting patterns favor Republican candidates in general elections. Prediction markets reflect this structural edge through consistent Republican pricing near 80 percent, driven by the nominee's business background and alignment with prevailing voter priorities in the area. Limited polling and Cook Political Report assessments classify the race as non-competitive, with no major late developments altering the balance. Scheduled general election voting on November 3, 2026, remains the key resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$52,400समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NY-21 seat, vacated after incumbent Elise Stefanik opted against reelection, features Republican nominee Anthony Constantino and Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien following June 2026 primaries. The district's upstate North Country profile and historical voting patterns favor Republican candidates in general elections. Prediction markets reflect this structural edge through consistent Republican pricing near 80 percent, driven by the nominee's business background and alignment with prevailing voter priorities in the area. Limited polling and Cook Political Report assessments classify the race as non-competitive, with no major late developments altering the balance. Scheduled general election voting on November 3, 2026, remains the key resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$52,400समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open NY-21 seat, vacated after incumbent Elise Stefanik opted against reelection, features Republican nominee Anthony Constantino and Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien following June 2026 primaries. The district's upstate North Country profile and historical voting patterns favor Republican candidates in general elections. Prediction markets reflect this structural edge through consistent Republican pricing near 80 percent, driven by the nominee's business background and alignment with prevailing voter priorities in the area. Limited polling and Cook Political Report assessments classify the race as non-competitive, with no major late developments altering the balance. Scheduled general election voting on November 3, 2026, remains the key resolution trigger.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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