The open seat in New York's 21st congressional district, vacated after Elise Stefanik opted not to seek a seventh term, sits in a solidly Republican area with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in presidential and prior House contests. The June 23 primaries—featuring Republicans Anthony Constantino and Robert Smullen alongside Democrats Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell—will set the general election matchups ahead of the November 3 vote. Recent campaign finance and polling data show active fundraising on both sides, but the district's underlying partisan composition and historical voting patterns continue to anchor trader consensus on the Republican nominee's strong position in the fall contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -21 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$23,867 वॉल्यूम
$23,867 वॉल्यूम
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
70%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
24%
$23,867 वॉल्यूम
$23,867 वॉल्यूम
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
70%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
24%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in New York's 21st congressional district, vacated after Elise Stefanik opted not to seek a seventh term, sits in a solidly Republican area with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in presidential and prior House contests. The June 23 primaries—featuring Republicans Anthony Constantino and Robert Smullen alongside Democrats Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell—will set the general election matchups ahead of the November 3 vote. Recent campaign finance and polling data show active fundraising on both sides, but the district's underlying partisan composition and historical voting patterns continue to anchor trader consensus on the Republican nominee's strong position in the fall contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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