Incumbent Rep. Bob Onder (R) commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, reflecting his 2024 general election victory by 26 points over Democrat Bethany Mann and dominant fundraising with over $367,000 cash on hand as of late March compared to Democrats' minimal totals under $25,000 combined. The August 4 primaries feature Onder facing token Republican opposition from John Fraser while Democrats splinter among Bethany Mann, Tommy Holstein, Alexander Thurmon, and Paul Wilson in a district safe for Republicans per Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections. Absent a primary upset, scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave, the race lacks competitive dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$62 वॉल्यूम
92%
Democratic Party
$0 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bob Onder (R) commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, reflecting his 2024 general election victory by 26 points over Democrat Bethany Mann and dominant fundraising with over $367,000 cash on hand as of late March compared to Democrats' minimal totals under $25,000 combined. The August 4 primaries feature Onder facing token Republican opposition from John Fraser while Democrats splinter among Bethany Mann, Tommy Holstein, Alexander Thurmon, and Paul Wilson in a district safe for Republicans per Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections. Absent a primary upset, scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave, the race lacks competitive dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$62समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bob Onder (R) commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, reflecting his 2024 general election victory by 26 points over Democrat Bethany Mann and dominant fundraising with over $367,000 cash on hand as of late March compared to Democrats' minimal totals under $25,000 combined. The August 4 primaries feature Onder facing token Republican opposition from John Fraser while Democrats splinter among Bethany Mann, Tommy Holstein, Alexander Thurmon, and Paul Wilson in a district safe for Republicans per Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections. Absent a primary upset, scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave, the race lacks competitive dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$62समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Bob Onder (R) commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, reflecting his 2024 general election victory by 26 points over Democrat Bethany Mann and dominant fundraising with over $367,000 cash on hand as of late March compared to Democrats' minimal totals under $25,000 combined. The August 4 primaries feature Onder facing token Republican opposition from John Fraser while Democrats splinter among Bethany Mann, Tommy Holstein, Alexander Thurmon, and Paul Wilson in a district safe for Republicans per Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections. Absent a primary upset, scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave, the race lacks competitive dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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