Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured the GOP nomination in Missouri's 3rd congressional district primary on August 4, 2026, defeating challenger John Fraser with 66 percent of the vote and advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann, who won her party's primary. The district, encompassing St. Charles County and parts of central Missouri, has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Onder's 2024 victory by over 22 points. Trader consensus reflected in the 91 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, historical voting patterns, and the absence of major scandals or shifts in voter registration. A national Democratic surge, unusually high turnout in suburban areas, or late developments in candidate positioning remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
$21,150 वॉल्यूम
$21,150 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
$21,150 वॉल्यूम
$21,150 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$6,172 वॉल्यूम
91%
Democratic Party
$14,978 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured the GOP nomination in Missouri's 3rd congressional district primary on August 4, 2026, defeating challenger John Fraser with 66 percent of the vote and advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann, who won her party's primary. The district, encompassing St. Charles County and parts of central Missouri, has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Onder's 2024 victory by over 22 points. Trader consensus reflected in the 91 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, historical voting patterns, and the absence of major scandals or shifts in voter registration. A national Democratic surge, unusually high turnout in suburban areas, or late developments in candidate positioning remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,150समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured the GOP nomination in Missouri's 3rd congressional district primary on August 4, 2026, defeating challenger John Fraser with 66 percent of the vote and advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann, who won her party's primary. The district, encompassing St. Charles County and parts of central Missouri, has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Onder's 2024 victory by over 22 points. Trader consensus reflected in the 91 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, historical voting patterns, and the absence of major scandals or shifts in voter registration. A national Democratic surge, unusually high turnout in suburban areas, or late developments in candidate positioning remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$21,150समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured the GOP nomination in Missouri's 3rd congressional district primary on August 4, 2026, defeating challenger John Fraser with 66 percent of the vote and advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann, who won her party's primary. The district, encompassing St. Charles County and parts of central Missouri, has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Onder's 2024 victory by over 22 points. Trader consensus reflected in the 91 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, historical voting patterns, and the absence of major scandals or shifts in voter registration. A national Democratic surge, unusually high turnout in suburban areas, or late developments in candidate positioning remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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