Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, where traders assign her party an 84.5% probability of retaining the seat in the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+10 partisan voting index and rightward shift among Staten Island’s working-class voters, including police and firefighters, underpin this consensus. A March 2026 U.S. Supreme Court ruling preserved the current boundaries after state courts had ordered a redraw, eliminating the primary threat of more competitive lines. Malliotakis’s substantial cash reserves and unified Republican primary further stabilize the outlook, while Democratic challengers remain divided ahead of their June 23 primary and face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -11 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NY -11 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$14,006 वॉल्यूम
$14,006 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
14%
$14,006 वॉल्यूम
$14,006 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$7,883 वॉल्यूम
87%
Democratic Party
$6,123 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, where traders assign her party an 84.5% probability of retaining the seat in the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+10 partisan voting index and rightward shift among Staten Island’s working-class voters, including police and firefighters, underpin this consensus. A March 2026 U.S. Supreme Court ruling preserved the current boundaries after state courts had ordered a redraw, eliminating the primary threat of more competitive lines. Malliotakis’s substantial cash reserves and unified Republican primary further stabilize the outlook, while Democratic challengers remain divided ahead of their June 23 primary and face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,006समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, where traders assign her party an 84.5% probability of retaining the seat in the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+10 partisan voting index and rightward shift among Staten Island’s working-class voters, including police and firefighters, underpin this consensus. A March 2026 U.S. Supreme Court ruling preserved the current boundaries after state courts had ordered a redraw, eliminating the primary threat of more competitive lines. Malliotakis’s substantial cash reserves and unified Republican primary further stabilize the outlook, while Democratic challengers remain divided ahead of their June 23 primary and face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$14,006समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, where traders assign her party an 84.5% probability of retaining the seat in the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+10 partisan voting index and rightward shift among Staten Island’s working-class voters, including police and firefighters, underpin this consensus. A March 2026 U.S. Supreme Court ruling preserved the current boundaries after state courts had ordered a redraw, eliminating the primary threat of more competitive lines. Malliotakis’s substantial cash reserves and unified Republican primary further stabilize the outlook, while Democratic challengers remain divided ahead of their June 23 primary and face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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