Nicole Malliotakis, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in the NY-11 race due to the district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index, its concentration of Staten Island voters with consistent Republican preferences in recent cycles, and her established local profile on issues such as public safety and infrastructure. Primary results from June 2026 confirmed Michael DeCillis as the Democratic nominee, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican with no evident polling shifts or national conditions eroding the structural advantage. An attempted mid-decade redistricting challenge was stayed by the Supreme Court earlier in the year, preserving the current lines through November 2026. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a pronounced Democratic turnout surge, a significant late development affecting Malliotakis, or unforeseen legal changes to district boundaries before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -11 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NY -11 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$25,875 वॉल्यूम
$25,875 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
8%
$25,875 वॉल्यूम
$25,875 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$12,781 वॉल्यूम
94%
Democratic Party
$13,094 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nicole Malliotakis, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in the NY-11 race due to the district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index, its concentration of Staten Island voters with consistent Republican preferences in recent cycles, and her established local profile on issues such as public safety and infrastructure. Primary results from June 2026 confirmed Michael DeCillis as the Democratic nominee, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican with no evident polling shifts or national conditions eroding the structural advantage. An attempted mid-decade redistricting challenge was stayed by the Supreme Court earlier in the year, preserving the current lines through November 2026. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a pronounced Democratic turnout surge, a significant late development affecting Malliotakis, or unforeseen legal changes to district boundaries before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,875समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nicole Malliotakis, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in the NY-11 race due to the district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index, its concentration of Staten Island voters with consistent Republican preferences in recent cycles, and her established local profile on issues such as public safety and infrastructure. Primary results from June 2026 confirmed Michael DeCillis as the Democratic nominee, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican with no evident polling shifts or national conditions eroding the structural advantage. An attempted mid-decade redistricting challenge was stayed by the Supreme Court earlier in the year, preserving the current lines through November 2026. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a pronounced Democratic turnout surge, a significant late development affecting Malliotakis, or unforeseen legal changes to district boundaries before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$25,875समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nicole Malliotakis, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in the NY-11 race due to the district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index, its concentration of Staten Island voters with consistent Republican preferences in recent cycles, and her established local profile on issues such as public safety and infrastructure. Primary results from June 2026 confirmed Michael DeCillis as the Democratic nominee, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican with no evident polling shifts or national conditions eroding the structural advantage. An attempted mid-decade redistricting challenge was stayed by the Supreme Court earlier in the year, preserving the current lines through November 2026. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a pronounced Democratic turnout surge, a significant late development affecting Malliotakis, or unforeseen legal changes to district boundaries before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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