NY-12’s strongly Democratic partisan makeup, reflected in its D+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market’s heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. With longtime incumbent Jerry Nadler retiring, a competitive June 23 primary among several assembly members and prominent challengers will determine the general-election candidate, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic because no credible Republican contender has emerged. Traders therefore assign only a small probability to an upset, viewing the outcome as largely settled once the primary concludes. A significant scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or an unforeseen surge in Republican turnout could still narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s voting history.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY-12 House Election Winner
NY-12 House Election Winner
$17,171 वॉल्यूम
$17,171 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$17,171 वॉल्यूम
$17,171 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$14,681 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$2,490 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-12’s strongly Democratic partisan makeup, reflected in its D+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market’s heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. With longtime incumbent Jerry Nadler retiring, a competitive June 23 primary among several assembly members and prominent challengers will determine the general-election candidate, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic because no credible Republican contender has emerged. Traders therefore assign only a small probability to an upset, viewing the outcome as largely settled once the primary concludes. A significant scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or an unforeseen surge in Republican turnout could still narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s voting history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,171समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-12’s strongly Democratic partisan makeup, reflected in its D+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market’s heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. With longtime incumbent Jerry Nadler retiring, a competitive June 23 primary among several assembly members and prominent challengers will determine the general-election candidate, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic because no credible Republican contender has emerged. Traders therefore assign only a small probability to an upset, viewing the outcome as largely settled once the primary concludes. A significant scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or an unforeseen surge in Republican turnout could still narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s voting history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$17,171समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-12’s strongly Democratic partisan makeup, reflected in its D+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market’s heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. With longtime incumbent Jerry Nadler retiring, a competitive June 23 primary among several assembly members and prominent challengers will determine the general-election candidate, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic because no credible Republican contender has emerged. Traders therefore assign only a small probability to an upset, viewing the outcome as largely settled once the primary concludes. A significant scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or an unforeseen surge in Republican turnout could still narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s voting history.
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