The NY-13 district's deep Democratic lean, covering Upper Manhattan and Northwest Bronx neighborhoods with consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic win at 95.9%. Darializa Avila Chevalier's June 2026 primary victory over longtime incumbent Adriano Espaillat consolidated party support ahead of the November general election, while Republican efforts remain minimal with a canceled or uncontested primary. This positioning aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive opposition. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or extreme turnout anomalies in the heavily Democratic electorate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -13 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
NY -13 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$39,522 वॉल्यूम
$39,522 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
96%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
3%
$39,522 वॉल्यूम
$39,522 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$27,078 वॉल्यूम
96%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$12,445 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-13 district's deep Democratic lean, covering Upper Manhattan and Northwest Bronx neighborhoods with consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic win at 95.9%. Darializa Avila Chevalier's June 2026 primary victory over longtime incumbent Adriano Espaillat consolidated party support ahead of the November general election, while Republican efforts remain minimal with a canceled or uncontested primary. This positioning aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive opposition. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or extreme turnout anomalies in the heavily Democratic electorate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$39,522समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-13 district's deep Democratic lean, covering Upper Manhattan and Northwest Bronx neighborhoods with consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic win at 95.9%. Darializa Avila Chevalier's June 2026 primary victory over longtime incumbent Adriano Espaillat consolidated party support ahead of the November general election, while Republican efforts remain minimal with a canceled or uncontested primary. This positioning aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive opposition. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or extreme turnout anomalies in the heavily Democratic electorate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$39,522समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-13 district's deep Democratic lean, covering Upper Manhattan and Northwest Bronx neighborhoods with consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic win at 95.9%. Darializa Avila Chevalier's June 2026 primary victory over longtime incumbent Adriano Espaillat consolidated party support ahead of the November general election, while Republican efforts remain minimal with a canceled or uncontested primary. This positioning aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive opposition. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or extreme turnout anomalies in the heavily Democratic electorate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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