Short-term forecast uncertainty for Amsterdam's minimum temperature on August 25 centers on modest model spread among ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office runs, with ensemble means clustering near 12–13 °C. North Sea marine air advection, possible nocturnal cloud cover, and weak pressure gradients are limiting radiative cooling and keeping the range tight. Historical late-August climatology shows typical lows of 13–15 °C, so current guidance sits slightly below average. Traders price the closest bins highest because resolution hinges on precise overnight readings from official KNMI stations, where small shifts in timing or boundary-layer mixing can swing the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Fresh model updates expected in the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया25 अगस्त को एम्स्टर्डम में सबसे कम तापमान?
25 अगस्त को एम्स्टर्डम में सबसे कम तापमान?
9°C or below 88%
13°C 48%
12°C 47%
19°C या उससे अधिक 40%
नया
नया
25 अग, 2026
9°C or below
88%
10°C
14%
11°C
40%
12°C
47%
13°C
48%
14°C
27%
15°C
38%
16°C
9%
17°C
20%
18°C
4%
19°C या उससे अधिक
40%
9°C or below 88%
13°C 48%
12°C 47%
19°C या उससे अधिक 40%
नया
नया
25 अग, 2026
9°C or below
$5 वॉल्यूम
88%
10°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
14%
11°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
47%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
48%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
38%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
9%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
20%
18°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
4%
19°C या उससे अधिक
$5 वॉल्यूम
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty for Amsterdam's minimum temperature on August 25 centers on modest model spread among ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office runs, with ensemble means clustering near 12–13 °C. North Sea marine air advection, possible nocturnal cloud cover, and weak pressure gradients are limiting radiative cooling and keeping the range tight. Historical late-August climatology shows typical lows of 13–15 °C, so current guidance sits slightly below average. Traders price the closest bins highest because resolution hinges on precise overnight readings from official KNMI stations, where small shifts in timing or boundary-layer mixing can swing the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Fresh model updates expected in the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20समाप्ति तिथि
25 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty for Amsterdam's minimum temperature on August 25 centers on modest model spread among ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office runs, with ensemble means clustering near 12–13 °C. North Sea marine air advection, possible nocturnal cloud cover, and weak pressure gradients are limiting radiative cooling and keeping the range tight. Historical late-August climatology shows typical lows of 13–15 °C, so current guidance sits slightly below average. Traders price the closest bins highest because resolution hinges on precise overnight readings from official KNMI stations, where small shifts in timing or boundary-layer mixing can swing the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Fresh model updates expected in the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$20समाप्ति तिथि
25 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast uncertainty for Amsterdam's minimum temperature on August 25 centers on modest model spread among ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office runs, with ensemble means clustering near 12–13 °C. North Sea marine air advection, possible nocturnal cloud cover, and weak pressure gradients are limiting radiative cooling and keeping the range tight. Historical late-August climatology shows typical lows of 13–15 °C, so current guidance sits slightly below average. Traders price the closest bins highest because resolution hinges on precise overnight readings from official KNMI stations, where small shifts in timing or boundary-layer mixing can swing the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Fresh model updates expected in the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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