Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a Beijing minimum temperature on September 10 in the 13–16°C range, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong radiational cooling under high pressure. This setup favors lower overnight readings than the early-September climatological average low near 17°C. Trader-implied odds remain closely balanced across bins because small forecast shifts in dew points, wind speed, or cloud cover could alter the exact minimum by several degrees. Updated model runs and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 सितंबर को बीजिंग में सबसे कम तापमान?
18°C या उससे अधिक 86%
8°C या उससे कम 81%
14°C 39%
17°C 39%
8°C या उससे कम
81%
9°C
18%
10°C
22%
11°C
24%
12°C
24%
13°C
22%
14°C
39%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
39%
18°C या उससे अधिक
86%
18°C या उससे अधिक 86%
8°C या उससे कम 81%
14°C 39%
17°C 39%
8°C या उससे कम
81%
9°C
18%
10°C
22%
11°C
24%
12°C
24%
13°C
22%
14°C
39%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
39%
18°C या उससे अधिक
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a Beijing minimum temperature on September 10 in the 13–16°C range, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong radiational cooling under high pressure. This setup favors lower overnight readings than the early-September climatological average low near 17°C. Trader-implied odds remain closely balanced across bins because small forecast shifts in dew points, wind speed, or cloud cover could alter the exact minimum by several degrees. Updated model runs and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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