Recent Antarctic air intrusions and variable model runs from agencies like Argentina's SMN have heightened uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling in Buenos Aires, positioning -9°C or below as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability. Recent polar outbreaks produced lows near 1°C in early August, establishing precedent for sharp drops below seasonal averages of 6–9°C. Forecast ensembles show divergence on wind patterns and cloud cover that could either moderate or amplify minimum temperatures on the 22nd, with 1°C or higher trailing at 27% amid mixed guidance. Traders weigh these factors against climatological baselines, recognizing the narrow window before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 अगस्त को ब्यूनस आयर्स में सबसे कम तापमान?
-9°C या उससे कम 85%
-7°C 49%
-5°C 49%
-4°C 49%
-9°C या उससे कम
85%
-8°C
44%
-7°C
49%
-6°C
35%
-5°C
49%
-4°C
49%
-3°C
25%
-2°C
26%
-1°C
26%
0°C
26%
1°C या अधिक
29%
-9°C या उससे कम 85%
-7°C 49%
-5°C 49%
-4°C 49%
-9°C या उससे कम
85%
-8°C
44%
-7°C
49%
-6°C
35%
-5°C
49%
-4°C
49%
-3°C
25%
-2°C
26%
-1°C
26%
0°C
26%
1°C या अधिक
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Antarctic air intrusions and variable model runs from agencies like Argentina's SMN have heightened uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling in Buenos Aires, positioning -9°C or below as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability. Recent polar outbreaks produced lows near 1°C in early August, establishing precedent for sharp drops below seasonal averages of 6–9°C. Forecast ensembles show divergence on wind patterns and cloud cover that could either moderate or amplify minimum temperatures on the 22nd, with 1°C or higher trailing at 27% amid mixed guidance. Traders weigh these factors against climatological baselines, recognizing the narrow window before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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