Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes for Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on August 23, reflecting subtle differences in short-range forecast guidance. Subtropical summer conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon and variable tropical moisture typically produce nighttime lows near 26–28°C, with cloud cover, rainfall timing, and wind shifts able to alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Recent model ensembles diverge modestly on the extent of overnight clearing versus lingering humidity ahead of any weak disturbances. The Hong Kong Observatory’s updated analyses and observational verification will refine these probabilities in the final 48 hours, as traders weigh historical late-August baselines against current atmospheric setup.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
26°C 32%
27°C 31%
28°C 16%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
9%
26°C
32%
27°C
31%
28°C
22%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 32%
27°C 31%
28°C 16%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
9%
26°C
32%
27°C
31%
28°C
22%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes for Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on August 23, reflecting subtle differences in short-range forecast guidance. Subtropical summer conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon and variable tropical moisture typically produce nighttime lows near 26–28°C, with cloud cover, rainfall timing, and wind shifts able to alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Recent model ensembles diverge modestly on the extent of overnight clearing versus lingering humidity ahead of any weak disturbances. The Hong Kong Observatory’s updated analyses and observational verification will refine these probabilities in the final 48 hours, as traders weigh historical late-August baselines against current atmospheric setup.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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