Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies like China's National Meteorological Center indicate clear skies and light southwesterly winds overnight, promoting radiative cooling that supports a daily minimum near 15°C in Jinan. This aligns with the market's leading 55% implied probability for exactly 15°C, while the clustered 45% odds on 12–14°C reflect uncertainty in model spread regarding how much further temperatures may dip before sunrise. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 18–22°C under similar high-pressure setups, with traders apparently weighting the current dry, stable airmass and lack of cloud cover as factors that could push readings modestly lower than recent analogs. Updated model runs expected later today will likely refine these probabilities ahead of official minimum reporting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 सितंबर को जिनान में सबसे कम तापमान?
12°C या उससे कम 90%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
12°C या उससे कम
90%
13°C
-
14°C
-
15°C
55%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
12°C या उससे कम 90%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
12°C या उससे कम
90%
13°C
-
14°C
-
15°C
55%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies like China's National Meteorological Center indicate clear skies and light southwesterly winds overnight, promoting radiative cooling that supports a daily minimum near 15°C in Jinan. This aligns with the market's leading 55% implied probability for exactly 15°C, while the clustered 45% odds on 12–14°C reflect uncertainty in model spread regarding how much further temperatures may dip before sunrise. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 18–22°C under similar high-pressure setups, with traders apparently weighting the current dry, stable airmass and lack of cloud cover as factors that could push readings modestly lower than recent analogs. Updated model runs expected later today will likely refine these probabilities ahead of official minimum reporting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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