Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a 25–31°C range on August 25 with 60–80% rain chances under the southwest monsoon, yet market-implied odds cluster near the extremes at 43.5% each for ≤21°C or ≥31°C. This reflects genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, as variable habagat moisture and cloud cover can sharply alter nighttime radiative cooling and minimum temperatures. Heavy rainfall tends to limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal drops below the seasonal 24–26°C baseline, but clearer breaks or stronger winds could push lows lower. Traders appear to weigh model spread on convective activity and steering patterns, with upcoming official updates likely to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया25 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे कम तापमान?
25 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे कम तापमान?
31°C या अधिक 93%
21°C या उससे कम 92%
22°C 44%
28°C 44%
नया
नया
25 अग, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
92%
22°C
44%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
44%
29°C
23%
30°C
2%
31°C या अधिक
93%
31°C या अधिक 93%
21°C या उससे कम 92%
22°C 44%
28°C 44%
नया
नया
25 अग, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
$5 वॉल्यूम
92%
22°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
44%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
24%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
24%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
28%
26°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
28%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
28%
28°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
44%
29°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
23%
30°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
2%
31°C या अधिक
$5 वॉल्यूम
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a 25–31°C range on August 25 with 60–80% rain chances under the southwest monsoon, yet market-implied odds cluster near the extremes at 43.5% each for ≤21°C or ≥31°C. This reflects genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, as variable habagat moisture and cloud cover can sharply alter nighttime radiative cooling and minimum temperatures. Heavy rainfall tends to limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal drops below the seasonal 24–26°C baseline, but clearer breaks or stronger winds could push lows lower. Traders appear to weigh model spread on convective activity and steering patterns, with upcoming official updates likely to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$30समाप्ति तिथि
25 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a 25–31°C range on August 25 with 60–80% rain chances under the southwest monsoon, yet market-implied odds cluster near the extremes at 43.5% each for ≤21°C or ≥31°C. This reflects genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, as variable habagat moisture and cloud cover can sharply alter nighttime radiative cooling and minimum temperatures. Heavy rainfall tends to limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal drops below the seasonal 24–26°C baseline, but clearer breaks or stronger winds could push lows lower. Traders appear to weigh model spread on convective activity and steering patterns, with upcoming official updates likely to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$30समाप्ति तिथि
25 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a 25–31°C range on August 25 with 60–80% rain chances under the southwest monsoon, yet market-implied odds cluster near the extremes at 43.5% each for ≤21°C or ≥31°C. This reflects genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, as variable habagat moisture and cloud cover can sharply alter nighttime radiative cooling and minimum temperatures. Heavy rainfall tends to limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal drops below the seasonal 24–26°C baseline, but clearer breaks or stronger winds could push lows lower. Traders appear to weigh model spread on convective activity and steering patterns, with upcoming official updates likely to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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