**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on an overnight low of 27–28°C for Shanghai on August 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered light rain or showers and persistent southeasterly flow.** This pattern reflects typical late-August subtropical conditions, where high humidity (often 80–90%) and cloud cover limit radiative cooling after sunset, keeping minimum temperatures close to the previous day’s values. Historical data from the preceding week show overnight lows consistently in the 26–28°C range amid similar moist, unsettled weather, with no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative loss anticipated. Model consensus (including guidance referenced by Chinese meteorological services and international outlets) points to highs near 31–33°C and limited diurnal range, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 27°C (67.5% implied probability) while assigning modest odds to 28°C. The slight downside risk to 25–26°C would require clearer skies or a temporary wind shift not currently indicated in short-range guidance. Traders appear to be pricing in the stability of this warm, humid regime rather than any abrupt change.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
27°C 68%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
26°C 3%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
68%
28°C
20%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 68%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
26°C 3%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
68%
28°C
20%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on an overnight low of 27–28°C for Shanghai on August 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered light rain or showers and persistent southeasterly flow.** This pattern reflects typical late-August subtropical conditions, where high humidity (often 80–90%) and cloud cover limit radiative cooling after sunset, keeping minimum temperatures close to the previous day’s values. Historical data from the preceding week show overnight lows consistently in the 26–28°C range amid similar moist, unsettled weather, with no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative loss anticipated. Model consensus (including guidance referenced by Chinese meteorological services and international outlets) points to highs near 31–33°C and limited diurnal range, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 27°C (67.5% implied probability) while assigning modest odds to 28°C. The slight downside risk to 25–26°C would require clearer skies or a temporary wind shift not currently indicated in short-range guidance. Traders appear to be pricing in the stability of this warm, humid regime rather than any abrupt change.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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