Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and global ensembles show Madrid under stable high pressure with clear skies and light variable winds on August 31, supporting a daytime maximum near 33–34 °C. This consensus drives the market’s heavy weighting toward 34 °C (51.5 %) and 35 °C (29.5 %), reflecting typical late-summer conditions after a cooler late-August period and the absence of advected heat or strong subsidence that would push readings higher. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, limiting probabilities for 36 °C or above, while 33 °C retains solid secondary support. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance in the next 48 hours will provide the final data for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
31 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
34°C 52%
35°C 37%
36°C 18%
33°C 15%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
29°C or below
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
15%
34°C
52%
35°C
33%
36°C
18%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 52%
35°C 37%
36°C 18%
33°C 15%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
29°C or below
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
31°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
32°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
8%
33°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
15%
34°C
$66 वॉल्यूम
52%
35°C
$96 वॉल्यूम
33%
36°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
37°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
38°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
39°C or higher
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and global ensembles show Madrid under stable high pressure with clear skies and light variable winds on August 31, supporting a daytime maximum near 33–34 °C. This consensus drives the market’s heavy weighting toward 34 °C (51.5 %) and 35 °C (29.5 %), reflecting typical late-summer conditions after a cooler late-August period and the absence of advected heat or strong subsidence that would push readings higher. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, limiting probabilities for 36 °C or above, while 33 °C retains solid secondary support. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance in the next 48 hours will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$168समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and global ensembles show Madrid under stable high pressure with clear skies and light variable winds on August 31, supporting a daytime maximum near 33–34 °C. This consensus drives the market’s heavy weighting toward 34 °C (51.5 %) and 35 °C (29.5 %), reflecting typical late-summer conditions after a cooler late-August period and the absence of advected heat or strong subsidence that would push readings higher. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, limiting probabilities for 36 °C or above, while 33 °C retains solid secondary support. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance in the next 48 hours will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$168समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and global ensembles show Madrid under stable high pressure with clear skies and light variable winds on August 31, supporting a daytime maximum near 33–34 °C. This consensus drives the market’s heavy weighting toward 34 °C (51.5 %) and 35 °C (29.5 %), reflecting typical late-summer conditions after a cooler late-August period and the absence of advected heat or strong subsidence that would push readings higher. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, limiting probabilities for 36 °C or above, while 33 °C retains solid secondary support. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance in the next 48 hours will provide the final data for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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