Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on September 10 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, driven by overnight thunderstorms, increased cloud cover, and northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Current conditions on September 9 show daytime highs near 31–32 °C with humidity above 70 percent, setting up a modest diurnal range consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 24 °C. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slightly warmer minima if rain persists through the night against the possibility of clearer intervals allowing a dip toward 22–23 °C, while the elevated implied probability on 29 °C or higher may reflect bets on measurement timing or station-specific readings rather than the broader forecast consensus. Updated model runs and official briefings expected through the evening will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.