**Forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models points to a daily minimum temperature of 24–25 °C for Tokyo on 23 August 2026, directly supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities (25 °C at 53 %, 24 °C at 30.5 %).** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (typically 70–95 % overnight), and light northeasterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the urban heat-island environment, keeping lows from falling below the seasonal average of ~23 °C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the day and evening further stabilize temperatures by maintaining a moist boundary layer. Recent JMA guidance and cross-model agreement (including Met Office and private forecasters) explicitly forecast a 24–25 °C minimum, with only modest uncertainty around timing of any clearing. No strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative event is anticipated, which explains why outcomes below 23 °C carry low probability while 26 °C remains a plausible upside tail if clouds break earlier than expected. Traders are therefore weighting the latest official minimum-temperature guidance most heavily for this near-term resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
23 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
25°C 53%
24°C 31%
26°C 11%
23°C 7%
नया
नया
23 अग, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
31%
25°C
53%
26°C
11%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 53%
24°C 31%
26°C 11%
23°C 7%
नया
नया
23 अग, 2026
20°C or below
$5 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
2%
22°C
$69 वॉल्यूम
4%
23°C
$82 वॉल्यूम
7%
24°C
$96 वॉल्यूम
31%
25°C
$288 वॉल्यूम
53%
26°C
$38 वॉल्यूम
11%
27°C
$81 वॉल्यूम
3%
28°C
$97 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C
$18 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C or higher
$161 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models points to a daily minimum temperature of 24–25 °C for Tokyo on 23 August 2026, directly supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities (25 °C at 53 %, 24 °C at 30.5 %).**
Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (typically 70–95 % overnight), and light northeasterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the urban heat-island environment, keeping lows from falling below the seasonal average of ~23 °C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the day and evening further stabilize temperatures by maintaining a moist boundary layer. Recent JMA guidance and cross-model agreement (including Met Office and private forecasters) explicitly forecast a 24–25 °C minimum, with only modest uncertainty around timing of any clearing. No strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative event is anticipated, which explains why outcomes below 23 °C carry low probability while 26 °C remains a plausible upside tail if clouds break earlier than expected. Traders are therefore weighting the latest official minimum-temperature guidance most heavily for this near-term resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$939समाप्ति तिथि
23 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models points to a daily minimum temperature of 24–25 °C for Tokyo on 23 August 2026, directly supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities (25 °C at 53 %, 24 °C at 30.5 %).**
Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (typically 70–95 % overnight), and light northeasterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the urban heat-island environment, keeping lows from falling below the seasonal average of ~23 °C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the day and evening further stabilize temperatures by maintaining a moist boundary layer. Recent JMA guidance and cross-model agreement (including Met Office and private forecasters) explicitly forecast a 24–25 °C minimum, with only modest uncertainty around timing of any clearing. No strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative event is anticipated, which explains why outcomes below 23 °C carry low probability while 26 °C remains a plausible upside tail if clouds break earlier than expected. Traders are therefore weighting the latest official minimum-temperature guidance most heavily for this near-term resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$939समाप्ति तिथि
23 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models points to a daily minimum temperature of 24–25 °C for Tokyo on 23 August 2026, directly supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities (25 °C at 53 %, 24 °C at 30.5 %).** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (typically 70–95 % overnight), and light northeasterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the urban heat-island environment, keeping lows from falling below the seasonal average of ~23 °C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the day and evening further stabilize temperatures by maintaining a moist boundary layer. Recent JMA guidance and cross-model agreement (including Met Office and private forecasters) explicitly forecast a 24–25 °C minimum, with only modest uncertainty around timing of any clearing. No strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative event is anticipated, which explains why outcomes below 23 °C carry low probability while 26 °C remains a plausible upside tail if clouds break earlier than expected. Traders are therefore weighting the latest official minimum-temperature guidance most heavily for this near-term resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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