Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency points to overnight lows in Tokyo on September 15 settling near 22–24°C amid widespread thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover driven by southerly flow and elevated humidity. These conditions moderate radiative cooling, supporting the market's heaviest positioning on 23°C (40%) and 24°C (27.5%), while limiting downside risk to 22°C (21.5%). Seasonal baselines for mid-September average around 20°C, but current moisture-laden air masses and precipitation timing elevate the floor relative to drier climatology. New model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
15 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
23°C 39%
24°C 29%
22°C 20%
25°C 8%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
19°C या उससे नीचे
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
7%
22°C
20%
23°C
39%
24°C
29%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C या अधिक
1%
23°C 39%
24°C 29%
22°C 20%
25°C 8%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
19°C या उससे नीचे
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
20°C
$30 वॉल्यूम
7%
21°C
$31 वॉल्यूम
7%
22°C
$470 वॉल्यूम
20%
23°C
$208 वॉल्यूम
39%
24°C
$643 वॉल्यूम
29%
25°C
$31 वॉल्यूम
8%
26°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
27°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C या अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency points to overnight lows in Tokyo on September 15 settling near 22–24°C amid widespread thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover driven by southerly flow and elevated humidity. These conditions moderate radiative cooling, supporting the market's heaviest positioning on 23°C (40%) and 24°C (27.5%), while limiting downside risk to 22°C (21.5%). Seasonal baselines for mid-September average around 20°C, but current moisture-laden air masses and precipitation timing elevate the floor relative to drier climatology. New model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,464समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency points to overnight lows in Tokyo on September 15 settling near 22–24°C amid widespread thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover driven by southerly flow and elevated humidity. These conditions moderate radiative cooling, supporting the market's heaviest positioning on 23°C (40%) and 24°C (27.5%), while limiting downside risk to 22°C (21.5%). Seasonal baselines for mid-September average around 20°C, but current moisture-laden air masses and precipitation timing elevate the floor relative to drier climatology. New model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,464समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency points to overnight lows in Tokyo on September 15 settling near 22–24°C amid widespread thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover driven by southerly flow and elevated humidity. These conditions moderate radiative cooling, supporting the market's heaviest positioning on 23°C (40%) and 24°C (27.5%), while limiting downside risk to 22°C (21.5%). Seasonal baselines for mid-September average around 20°C, but current moisture-laden air masses and precipitation timing elevate the floor relative to drier climatology. New model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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