The closely matched market-implied probabilities around 13–16°C reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in ensemble model guidance for Warsaw’s overnight minimum on August 22. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover modulating radiative cooling, weak southerly flow advecting slightly milder air, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds overnight. Recent high-resolution runs from ECMWF and GFS show overlapping solutions near 14–15°C, with limited historical analogs for late-August conditions under similar pressure patterns. Updated model cycles and local observational data from Polish meteorological services will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे कम तापमान?
22 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे कम तापमान?
15°C 31%
16°C 28%
13°C 28%
14°C 28%
नया
नया
22 अग, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
5%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
31%
16°C
28%
17°C
11%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 31%
16°C 28%
13°C 28%
14°C 28%
नया
नया
22 अग, 2026
10°C or below
$68 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$169 वॉल्यूम
5%
12°C
$6 वॉल्यूम
27%
13°C
$2 वॉल्यूम
28%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
28%
15°C
$43 वॉल्यूम
31%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
28%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
18°C
$77 वॉल्यूम
2%
19°C
$30 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C or higher
$30 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied probabilities around 13–16°C reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in ensemble model guidance for Warsaw’s overnight minimum on August 22. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover modulating radiative cooling, weak southerly flow advecting slightly milder air, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds overnight. Recent high-resolution runs from ECMWF and GFS show overlapping solutions near 14–15°C, with limited historical analogs for late-August conditions under similar pressure patterns. Updated model cycles and local observational data from Polish meteorological services will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$426समाप्ति तिथि
22 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied probabilities around 13–16°C reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in ensemble model guidance for Warsaw’s overnight minimum on August 22. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover modulating radiative cooling, weak southerly flow advecting slightly milder air, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds overnight. Recent high-resolution runs from ECMWF and GFS show overlapping solutions near 14–15°C, with limited historical analogs for late-August conditions under similar pressure patterns. Updated model cycles and local observational data from Polish meteorological services will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$426समाप्ति तिथि
22 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied probabilities around 13–16°C reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in ensemble model guidance for Warsaw’s overnight minimum on August 22. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover modulating radiative cooling, weak southerly flow advecting slightly milder air, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds overnight. Recent high-resolution runs from ECMWF and GFS show overlapping solutions near 14–15°C, with limited historical analogs for late-August conditions under similar pressure patterns. Updated model cycles and local observational data from Polish meteorological services will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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