Maryland's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Glenn Ivey, first elected in 2022, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23, 2026, contest, while Republican recruitment has produced no competitive general-election challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's 93% implied probability for the Democratic Party. A late national Republican surge or unforeseen Democratic primary upset could narrow the gap, though historical turnout patterns and district demographics make an outright reversal unlikely before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMD -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MD -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$24,585 वॉल्यूम
$24,585 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
5%
$24,585 वॉल्यूम
$24,585 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$8,057 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$16,528 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Glenn Ivey, first elected in 2022, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23, 2026, contest, while Republican recruitment has produced no competitive general-election challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's 93% implied probability for the Democratic Party. A late national Republican surge or unforeseen Democratic primary upset could narrow the gap, though historical turnout patterns and district demographics make an outright reversal unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,585समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Glenn Ivey, first elected in 2022, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23, 2026, contest, while Republican recruitment has produced no competitive general-election challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's 93% implied probability for the Democratic Party. A late national Republican surge or unforeseen Democratic primary upset could narrow the gap, though historical turnout patterns and district demographics make an outright reversal unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$24,585समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Glenn Ivey, first elected in 2022, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23, 2026, contest, while Republican recruitment has produced no competitive general-election challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's 93% implied probability for the Democratic Party. A late national Republican surge or unforeseen Democratic primary upset could narrow the gap, though historical turnout patterns and district demographics make an outright reversal unlikely before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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