Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's re-election bid in the deeply Democratic MN-04, with its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting consistent 35-point general election margins in 2022 and 2024, where she defeated Republican challengers amid Kamala Harris's 67-31 district win. McCollum holds a dominant $669,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing GOP primary contenders Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong. With primaries on August 11 and filing deadline June 2, ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball list the seat as Safe Democratic. Upsets could stem from a McCollum scandal, her primary loss to Aswar Rahman, a star Republican recruit, or a national GOP midterm surge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,191 वॉल्यूम
93%
Republican Party
$2,167 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's re-election bid in the deeply Democratic MN-04, with its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting consistent 35-point general election margins in 2022 and 2024, where she defeated Republican challengers amid Kamala Harris's 67-31 district win. McCollum holds a dominant $669,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing GOP primary contenders Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong. With primaries on August 11 and filing deadline June 2, ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball list the seat as Safe Democratic. Upsets could stem from a McCollum scandal, her primary loss to Aswar Rahman, a star Republican recruit, or a national GOP midterm surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,358समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's re-election bid in the deeply Democratic MN-04, with its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting consistent 35-point general election margins in 2022 and 2024, where she defeated Republican challengers amid Kamala Harris's 67-31 district win. McCollum holds a dominant $669,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing GOP primary contenders Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong. With primaries on August 11 and filing deadline June 2, ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball list the seat as Safe Democratic. Upsets could stem from a McCollum scandal, her primary loss to Aswar Rahman, a star Republican recruit, or a national GOP midterm surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$4,358समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's re-election bid in the deeply Democratic MN-04, with its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting consistent 35-point general election margins in 2022 and 2024, where she defeated Republican challengers amid Kamala Harris's 67-31 district win. McCollum holds a dominant $669,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing GOP primary contenders Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong. With primaries on August 11 and filing deadline June 2, ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball list the seat as Safe Democratic. Upsets could stem from a McCollum scandal, her primary loss to Aswar Rahman, a star Republican recruit, or a national GOP midterm surge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न