Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's decisive victory in the March 10 Democratic primary over challenger Evan Turnage has solidified his path in solidly Democratic Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, where trader consensus prices Democrats at 84.5% implied probability reflecting the district's strong partisan lean and Thompson's 33-year tenure as the state's sole House Democrat. Republican nominee Ron Eller, advancing from his third bid in the GOP primary, faces steep historical barriers in this majority-minority seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report. Recent Republican rhetoric, including Gov. Tate Reeves' May criticisms and President Trump's May 2 call for redistricting MS-02's gerrymandered lines, has fueled modest GOP odds at 13%, though no legislative action has materialized ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMS-02 House Election Winner
MS-02 House Election Winner
$21,568 वॉल्यूम
$21,568 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
13%
$21,568 वॉल्यूम
$21,568 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,302 वॉल्यूम
85%
Republican Party
$10,266 वॉल्यूम
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's decisive victory in the March 10 Democratic primary over challenger Evan Turnage has solidified his path in solidly Democratic Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, where trader consensus prices Democrats at 84.5% implied probability reflecting the district's strong partisan lean and Thompson's 33-year tenure as the state's sole House Democrat. Republican nominee Ron Eller, advancing from his third bid in the GOP primary, faces steep historical barriers in this majority-minority seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report. Recent Republican rhetoric, including Gov. Tate Reeves' May criticisms and President Trump's May 2 call for redistricting MS-02's gerrymandered lines, has fueled modest GOP odds at 13%, though no legislative action has materialized ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,568समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's decisive victory in the March 10 Democratic primary over challenger Evan Turnage has solidified his path in solidly Democratic Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, where trader consensus prices Democrats at 84.5% implied probability reflecting the district's strong partisan lean and Thompson's 33-year tenure as the state's sole House Democrat. Republican nominee Ron Eller, advancing from his third bid in the GOP primary, faces steep historical barriers in this majority-minority seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report. Recent Republican rhetoric, including Gov. Tate Reeves' May criticisms and President Trump's May 2 call for redistricting MS-02's gerrymandered lines, has fueled modest GOP odds at 13%, though no legislative action has materialized ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$21,568समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's decisive victory in the March 10 Democratic primary over challenger Evan Turnage has solidified his path in solidly Democratic Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, where trader consensus prices Democrats at 84.5% implied probability reflecting the district's strong partisan lean and Thompson's 33-year tenure as the state's sole House Democrat. Republican nominee Ron Eller, advancing from his third bid in the GOP primary, faces steep historical barriers in this majority-minority seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report. Recent Republican rhetoric, including Gov. Tate Reeves' May criticisms and President Trump's May 2 call for redistricting MS-02's gerrymandered lines, has fueled modest GOP odds at 13%, though no legislative action has materialized ahead of the November 3 general election.
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