Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 94.5% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a Cook PVI R+18 seat where Donald Trump carried 68% in 2024. Kelly's historical dominance—70% in 2024, 73% in 2022—combined with a fundraising edge ($827,000 cash on hand vs. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson's $65,000 as of late March) and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report underpin the lopsided odds. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days. While a scandal, Kelly's withdrawal, or an unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election, such upsets face steep barriers in this battleground-proof district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMS -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MS -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$105,411 वॉल्यूम
$105,411 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
95%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
6%
$105,411 वॉल्यूम
$105,411 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$77,078 वॉल्यूम
95%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$28,333 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 94.5% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a Cook PVI R+18 seat where Donald Trump carried 68% in 2024. Kelly's historical dominance—70% in 2024, 73% in 2022—combined with a fundraising edge ($827,000 cash on hand vs. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson's $65,000 as of late March) and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report underpin the lopsided odds. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days. While a scandal, Kelly's withdrawal, or an unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election, such upsets face steep barriers in this battleground-proof district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$105,411समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 94.5% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a Cook PVI R+18 seat where Donald Trump carried 68% in 2024. Kelly's historical dominance—70% in 2024, 73% in 2022—combined with a fundraising edge ($827,000 cash on hand vs. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson's $65,000 as of late March) and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report underpin the lopsided odds. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days. While a scandal, Kelly's withdrawal, or an unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election, such upsets face steep barriers in this battleground-proof district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$105,411समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 94.5% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a Cook PVI R+18 seat where Donald Trump carried 68% in 2024. Kelly's historical dominance—70% in 2024, 73% in 2022—combined with a fundraising edge ($827,000 cash on hand vs. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson's $65,000 as of late March) and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report underpin the lopsided odds. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days. While a scandal, Kelly's withdrawal, or an unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election, such upsets face steep barriers in this battleground-proof district.
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