Democratic incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s established partisan lean, combined with Conaway’s unopposed Democratic primary win on June 2 and his prior general election performance, underpin the 90.5% implied probability assigned by traders. Republican nominee Michael McGuire, who emerged from a June primary against two challengers, faces structural headwinds typical for the minority party in this Burlington County-centered seat. Factors that could narrow the gap include national midterm dynamics, shifts in voter turnout among key demographics, or late-cycle developments in fundraising and messaging that alter the current consensus reflected in market pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNJ-03 House Election Winner
NJ-03 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,618 वॉल्यूम
93%
Republican Party
$1,362 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s established partisan lean, combined with Conaway’s unopposed Democratic primary win on June 2 and his prior general election performance, underpin the 90.5% implied probability assigned by traders. Republican nominee Michael McGuire, who emerged from a June primary against two challengers, faces structural headwinds typical for the minority party in this Burlington County-centered seat. Factors that could narrow the gap include national midterm dynamics, shifts in voter turnout among key demographics, or late-cycle developments in fundraising and messaging that alter the current consensus reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,980समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s established partisan lean, combined with Conaway’s unopposed Democratic primary win on June 2 and his prior general election performance, underpin the 90.5% implied probability assigned by traders. Republican nominee Michael McGuire, who emerged from a June primary against two challengers, faces structural headwinds typical for the minority party in this Burlington County-centered seat. Factors that could narrow the gap include national midterm dynamics, shifts in voter turnout among key demographics, or late-cycle developments in fundraising and messaging that alter the current consensus reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$3,980समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s established partisan lean, combined with Conaway’s unopposed Democratic primary win on June 2 and his prior general election performance, underpin the 90.5% implied probability assigned by traders. Republican nominee Michael McGuire, who emerged from a June primary against two challengers, faces structural headwinds typical for the minority party in this Burlington County-centered seat. Factors that could narrow the gap include national midterm dynamics, shifts in voter turnout among key demographics, or late-cycle developments in fundraising and messaging that alter the current consensus reflected in market pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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