Labour's catastrophic local election results last week have ignited a fierce leadership crisis for Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with over 70 MPs demanding his resignation, four cabinet ministers quitting, and his net approval plunging to -45%. Trader consensus reflects this turmoil, pricing a tight contest between no leadership change in 2026 (23.5%)—if Starmer weathers the storm—and rapid successors via internal Labour Party rules, led by Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham (23.3%, favored by 42% of party members in recent polls) and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband (22.9%, backed by the left wing). Health Secretary Wes Streeting (13%) eyes an early bid, keeping odds bunched amid vows of "radical change" from Starmer. A formal no-confidence threshold or orderly transition announcement could decisively shift probabilities before party conference.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में कोई अगला पीएम नहीं 24%
एंडी बर्नहैम 23.3%
एड मिलिबैंड 22.9%
वेस स्ट्रीटिंग 13%
$6,117,411 वॉल्यूम
$6,117,411 वॉल्यूम
2026 में कोई अगला पीएम नहीं
24%
एंडी बर्नहैम
23%
एड मिलिबैंड
23%
वेस स्ट्रीटिंग
13%
एंजेला रेयनर
10%
अल कार्न्स
5%
यवेट कूपर
2%
शबाना महमूद
2%
नाइजेल फराज
1%
लूसी पॉवेल
1%
डेविड लैमी
<1%
रेचेल रीव्स
<1%
केमी बैडेनोच
<1%
ब्रिजेट फिलिप्सन
<1%
डैरेन जोन्स
<1%
बोरिस जॉनसन
<1%
एड डेवी
<1%
रूपर्ट लोवे
<1%
रॉबर्ट जेन्रिक
<1%
जेम्स क्लेवरली
<1%
व्यक्ति A
<1%
2026 में कोई अगला पीएम नहीं 24%
एंडी बर्नहैम 23.3%
एड मिलिबैंड 22.9%
वेस स्ट्रीटिंग 13%
$6,117,411 वॉल्यूम
$6,117,411 वॉल्यूम
2026 में कोई अगला पीएम नहीं
24%
एंडी बर्नहैम
23%
एड मिलिबैंड
23%
वेस स्ट्रीटिंग
13%
एंजेला रेयनर
10%
अल कार्न्स
5%
यवेट कूपर
2%
शबाना महमूद
2%
नाइजेल फराज
1%
लूसी पॉवेल
1%
डेविड लैमी
<1%
रेचेल रीव्स
<1%
केमी बैडेनोच
<1%
ब्रिजेट फिलिप्सन
<1%
डैरेन जोन्स
<1%
बोरिस जॉनसन
<1%
एड डेवी
<1%
रूपर्ट लोवे
<1%
रॉबर्ट जेन्रिक
<1%
जेम्स क्लेवरली
<1%
व्यक्ति A
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Labour's catastrophic local election results last week have ignited a fierce leadership crisis for Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with over 70 MPs demanding his resignation, four cabinet ministers quitting, and his net approval plunging to -45%. Trader consensus reflects this turmoil, pricing a tight contest between no leadership change in 2026 (23.5%)—if Starmer weathers the storm—and rapid successors via internal Labour Party rules, led by Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham (23.3%, favored by 42% of party members in recent polls) and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband (22.9%, backed by the left wing). Health Secretary Wes Streeting (13%) eyes an early bid, keeping odds bunched amid vows of "radical change" from Starmer. A formal no-confidence threshold or orderly transition announcement could decisively shift probabilities before party conference.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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