Taiwan's opposition-led Legislative Yuan, controlled by KMT and TPP lawmakers holding about 60 of 113 seats, lacks the three-fourths supermajority (85 votes) constitutionally required under Article 100 to impeach President Lai Ching-te, driving trader consensus to 97.6% on "No" by June 30. Recent hearings concluded in late April over Lai's refusal to sign a revised fiscal allocation law, with a symbolic roll-call vote scheduled for May 19 unlikely to pass due to DPP's 51 seats blocking any coalition. Absent extraordinary defections, scandals, or legal reinterpretations shifting legislator support, the procedural impasse solidifies high-confidence expectations of failure, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in this mathematically constrained scenario.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयालाई चिंग - ते के खिलाफ 30 जून तक महाभियोग चलाया गया?
लाई चिंग - ते के खिलाफ 30 जून तक महाभियोग चलाया गया?
हाँ
$615,885 वॉल्यूम
$615,885 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$615,885 वॉल्यूम
$615,885 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition-led Legislative Yuan, controlled by KMT and TPP lawmakers holding about 60 of 113 seats, lacks the three-fourths supermajority (85 votes) constitutionally required under Article 100 to impeach President Lai Ching-te, driving trader consensus to 97.6% on "No" by June 30. Recent hearings concluded in late April over Lai's refusal to sign a revised fiscal allocation law, with a symbolic roll-call vote scheduled for May 19 unlikely to pass due to DPP's 51 seats blocking any coalition. Absent extraordinary defections, scandals, or legal reinterpretations shifting legislator support, the procedural impasse solidifies high-confidence expectations of failure, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in this mathematically constrained scenario.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$615,885समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition-led Legislative Yuan, controlled by KMT and TPP lawmakers holding about 60 of 113 seats, lacks the three-fourths supermajority (85 votes) constitutionally required under Article 100 to impeach President Lai Ching-te, driving trader consensus to 97.6% on "No" by June 30. Recent hearings concluded in late April over Lai's refusal to sign a revised fiscal allocation law, with a symbolic roll-call vote scheduled for May 19 unlikely to pass due to DPP's 51 seats blocking any coalition. Absent extraordinary defections, scandals, or legal reinterpretations shifting legislator support, the procedural impasse solidifies high-confidence expectations of failure, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in this mathematically constrained scenario.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
वॉल्यूम
$615,885समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition-led Legislative Yuan, controlled by KMT and TPP lawmakers holding about 60 of 113 seats, lacks the three-fourths supermajority (85 votes) constitutionally required under Article 100 to impeach President Lai Ching-te, driving trader consensus to 97.6% on "No" by June 30. Recent hearings concluded in late April over Lai's refusal to sign a revised fiscal allocation law, with a symbolic roll-call vote scheduled for May 19 unlikely to pass due to DPP's 51 seats blocking any coalition. Absent extraordinary defections, scandals, or legal reinterpretations shifting legislator support, the procedural impasse solidifies high-confidence expectations of failure, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in this mathematically constrained scenario.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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