The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and Kamala Harris's 61%-37% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election winner. Incumbent Rob Menendez holds a 42%-27% lead in April polling for the June 2 primary against challenger Mussab Ali, bolstered by county party endorsements, Hudson County organizational support, and over $1 million in cash on hand. No Republican filed by the March deadline, leaving only an independent candidate for the November 3 general election. A Democratic primary upset or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the margin, though the district's partisan baseline and limited opposition make such shifts unlikely without major developments before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNJ-08 House Election Winner
NJ-08 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,723 वॉल्यूम
93%
Republican Party
$2,344 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and Kamala Harris's 61%-37% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election winner. Incumbent Rob Menendez holds a 42%-27% lead in April polling for the June 2 primary against challenger Mussab Ali, bolstered by county party endorsements, Hudson County organizational support, and over $1 million in cash on hand. No Republican filed by the March deadline, leaving only an independent candidate for the November 3 general election. A Democratic primary upset or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the margin, though the district's partisan baseline and limited opposition make such shifts unlikely without major developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,066समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and Kamala Harris's 61%-37% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election winner. Incumbent Rob Menendez holds a 42%-27% lead in April polling for the June 2 primary against challenger Mussab Ali, bolstered by county party endorsements, Hudson County organizational support, and over $1 million in cash on hand. No Republican filed by the March deadline, leaving only an independent candidate for the November 3 general election. A Democratic primary upset or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the margin, though the district's partisan baseline and limited opposition make such shifts unlikely without major developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$6,066समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and Kamala Harris's 61%-37% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election winner. Incumbent Rob Menendez holds a 42%-27% lead in April polling for the June 2 primary against challenger Mussab Ali, bolstered by county party endorsements, Hudson County organizational support, and over $1 million in cash on hand. No Republican filed by the March deadline, leaving only an independent candidate for the November 3 general election. A Democratic primary upset or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the margin, though the district's partisan baseline and limited opposition make such shifts unlikely without major developments before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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