NY-07's heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+25 Cook PVI and consistent strong performance for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Claire Valdez following incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement, with the general election contest rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters due to the district's urban Brooklyn and Queens demographics. A Republican candidate has generated minimal traction, aligning with the 2% implied probability. Late developments that could shift trader views include a significant scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, unusually depressed turnout, or a national political realignment altering local voting patterns before November 3, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -07 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
NY -07 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$29,856 वॉल्यूम
$29,856 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$29,856 वॉल्यूम
$29,856 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,452 वॉल्यूम
96%
Republican Party
$14,404 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07's heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+25 Cook PVI and consistent strong performance for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Claire Valdez following incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement, with the general election contest rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters due to the district's urban Brooklyn and Queens demographics. A Republican candidate has generated minimal traction, aligning with the 2% implied probability. Late developments that could shift trader views include a significant scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, unusually depressed turnout, or a national political realignment altering local voting patterns before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,856समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07's heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+25 Cook PVI and consistent strong performance for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Claire Valdez following incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement, with the general election contest rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters due to the district's urban Brooklyn and Queens demographics. A Republican candidate has generated minimal traction, aligning with the 2% implied probability. Late developments that could shift trader views include a significant scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, unusually depressed turnout, or a national political realignment altering local voting patterns before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$29,856समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-07's heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+25 Cook PVI and consistent strong performance for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Claire Valdez following incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement, with the general election contest rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters due to the district's urban Brooklyn and Queens demographics. A Republican candidate has generated minimal traction, aligning with the 2% implied probability. Late developments that could shift trader views include a significant scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, unusually depressed turnout, or a national political realignment altering local voting patterns before November 3, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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