Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the Republican nomination with 71% in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Mitchell Jacob advanced on the other side ahead of the November 3 general election. Cole's substantial fundraising advantage and the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a commanding lead for the Republican nominee. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOK -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
OK -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$25,389 वॉल्यूम
$25,389 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
94%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
6%
$25,389 वॉल्यूम
$25,389 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$14,515 वॉल्यूम
94%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$10,874 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the Republican nomination with 71% in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Mitchell Jacob advanced on the other side ahead of the November 3 general election. Cole's substantial fundraising advantage and the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a commanding lead for the Republican nominee. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,389समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the Republican nomination with 71% in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Mitchell Jacob advanced on the other side ahead of the November 3 general election. Cole's substantial fundraising advantage and the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a commanding lead for the Republican nominee. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$25,389समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the Republican nomination with 71% in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Mitchell Jacob advanced on the other side ahead of the November 3 general election. Cole's substantial fundraising advantage and the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a commanding lead for the Republican nominee. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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